Canaccord Downgrades Blue Apron After Meal Kit Service Sheds 71K Net Subscribers In Q3


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Blue Apron Holdings Inc (NYSE:APRN) shares are reeling after reporting a third-quarter earnings miss Tuesday.

The food delivery subscription service has lost nearly 88 percent of its value since its 2017 IPO

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The Analyst 

Canaccord Genuity analyst Michael Graham downgraded Blue Apron from Buy to Hold and lowered the price target from $6 to $3.

The Thesis

Blue Apron is transitioning in two major ways, Graham said in the downgrade note. (See his track record here.) 

In the core direct-to-consumer business, the company is targeting more profitable and fewer customers in its acquisition efforts, the analyst said.

Blue Apron is also more aggressively pursuing a retail business with newer products and a wide range of distribution partnerships, Graham said.

The top 30 percent of Blue Apron's customers accounted for over 80 percent of revenues in the company's first year as a public company, leading it to shift its focus and promotional spending to deepen relationships in this tier, the analyst said. Blue Apron also announced a 4-percent reduction in headcount during the quarter, he said. 

Partnerships will be a key focus moving forward, according to Cannacord, after Blue Apron recently announced integration with Walmart Inc (NYSE:WMT)'s Jet.com, Weight Watchers International, Inc (NASDAQ:WTW) and a pilot program with Costco Wholesale Corporation (NASDAQ:COST).


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Despite the potential for a turnaround, Graham remains cautious moving forward.

"Despite the several positives, given the guidance for continued revenue declines next year, we feel a Hold rating is more appropriate for now." 

Elsewhere On The Street 

Raymond James analyst Aaron Kessler maintained a Market Perform rating on Blue Apron.

KeyBanc Capital Markets analyst Edward Yruma maintained a Sector Weight rating. 

The Price Action

Blue Apron shares were down 0.85 percent at $1.16 at the time of publication Thursday.

Related Links:

Is The Street Finding An Appetite For Blue Apron?

GabellI: Struggling Blue Apron Poised For $2.4B In Revenue

Photo courtesy of Blue Apron. 


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Posted In: Analyst ColorNewsDowngradesPrice TargetAnalyst RatingsCanaccord GenuityMichael Graham