While retail analysts and most consumers remain steadfastly focused on lower gas prices and holiday shopping trends, it is easy to lose sight of the big picture.
How Will Consumers Spend Their Shopping Dollars In The Future?
That is, unless one is at the helm of a company that must commit to planning years in advance, such as the largest U.S. REIT, $56.3 billion market cap Simon Property Group Inc SPG.
However, regardless of how difficult it is to predict the future direction of interest rates, unemployment, or the price of oil or global economic growth, CEO David Simon can know with certainty that Internet-based retail competition will continue to evolve and expand.
Amazon Wildcard
Source: Prologis, Inc. presentation
Internet pure-play Amazon.com, Inc. AMZN continues to build out its footprint of U.S. fulfillment centers adjacent to densely populated urban core markets. It is a relatively straightforward task to acquire a permit and build a large warehouse facility in an existing industrial park.
Source: Amazon.com Q3 2014 presentation
Amazon, in particular, has a greater focus on market share growth and retail and cloud service expansion, versus pure profit-generation.
Simon's Plans Are Made Years In Advance
Large commercial real estate projects take many years to go through planning, designing, permitting and constructing--all in the hope that retail tenants will sign leases granting them the privilege of vying for consumer attention.
So Why Do It?
Evidently, consumers love bargains.
On December 8, Simon announced its Simon Premium Outlets had an impressive 6.4 million square feet, totaling $2.5 billion in its development pipeline.
Below are five other statistics supporting Simon's efforts:
1. Simon's U.S. portfolio contains the only six existing outlet centers to be performing at greater than $1,000 per square foot. (Class-A regional malls typically have sales of $600 or more).
2. Four new outlet centers will open during 2015 in Vancouver, Philadelphia, Tucson and Tampa.
3. Simon is slated to begin construction on five new domestic Premium Outlets, including Columbus, OH (355,000 square feet), Norfolk, VA (351,000 square feet), Clarksburg, MD (392,000 square feet), Tulsa, OK (318,000 square feet) and Denver, CO (350,000 square feet).
4. International growth includes completed expansions of Toki Premium Outlets (Japan) and Paju Premium Outlets (Korea), with expansions underway at Premium Outlets Punta Norte (Mexico), Yeoju Premium Outlets (Korea) and Shisui Premium Outlets (Japan).
5. Construction on new international Premium Outlets is slated to begin in Siheung (Korea) and Genting Highlands (Malaysia).
"Our Premium Outlets portfolio is firing on all cylinders and is the unquestioned standard bearer in the industry," David Simon recently said.
"The pace of our new developments both here and abroad, and the significant expansion of our landmark properties are unprecedented and a testament to the strength and quality of both our brand and organization."
Bottom Line
The die is already cast for the 2014 Shopping Season. All the major players, including retailers, mall landlords and third party logistics companies, have placed their bets on the table.
Image credit: Oakbrook Terrace Hotels, Flickr
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