Weyerhaeuser Loses A Long-Time Supporter; Bank Of America Downgrades

Bank of America's George Staphos downgrades Weyerhaeuser's stock rating from Buy to Neutral with a price target lowered from $36 to $35 as many catalysts have played out over the years. The analyst held a Buy rating on the stock as far back as 2014 with a price target as high as $41.

Few Catalyst Ahead

Some of the events include higher lumber pricing, the Plum Creek acquisition and management's "Operational Excellence" initiative to improve its cost position and achieve a cash break-even position in wood products despite a recessionary environment.

But now there are limited catalysts left to boost the stock higher in the intermediate term, the analyst continued. As such, a Neutral rating is more appropriate, especially when factoring in the year-over-year deceleration in lumber and OSB pricing, which implies investors shouldn't expect a positive guidance revision in the near term.

Meanwhile, slowdown in inflation will have a "moderately negative impact" on Weyerhaeuser's stock. Also, encouraging reports from the company's "Asset Value Optimization" program for its Western Timberlands is already factored into the analyst's sum-of-the-parts valuation and $35 price target.

Bottom line, with few catalysts ahead, the likelihood of upside "seem limited" moving forward.