100x Options Profit Calculator

Calculate whether your options trade has positive or negative expectancy over 100 trades. Enter max loss, max profit, and probability of each outcome to see your expected result.

Trade risk & reward

Enter the fixed max loss and max profit for a single trade.

Maximum loss if the trade hits max risk.

$

Maximum profit if the trade hits max gain.

$

Probability of max outcomes

Enter each outcome as a percentage (numbers only — e.g. 25 for 25%).

Chance of hitting max loss on the trade.

%

Chance of hitting max profit on the trade.

%

Expected outcome (100 trades)

Enter all four inputs to see whether your trade has positive or negative expectancy.

Max loss after 100 trades

Max profit after 100 trades

How the math works

Weighted profit = max profit × prob. ITM profit (%). Weighted loss = max loss × prob. ITM loss (%). Expected outcome = weighted profit − weighted loss. Works only for strategies with fixed max risk and max gain.

How to Use the 100x Options Calculator

The 100x Options Calculator helps you determine if your option trade has positive or negative expectancy. It looks at four inputs: max risk on the trade, the probability of hitting max risk, max profit on the trade, and the probability of hitting max profit.

Enter the percentage for hitting your max loss and max gain as numbers only (e.g. 30 for 30%), plus the max loss and max gain in dollars for a single trade. The calculator shows weighted outcomes after 100 trades and whether the setup favors you over time.

This will not work on strategies that do not have a fixed max risk or fixed max gain — such as naked short options or positions with undefined upside or downside.

  1. 1Enter max loss ($) — the most you can lose if the trade hits max risk.
  2. 2Enter max profit ($) — the most you can make if the trade hits max gain.
  3. 3Enter prob. ITM loss (%) — your estimate of hitting max loss.
  4. 4Enter prob. ITM profit (%) — your estimate of hitting max profit.
  5. 5Review expected outcome after 100 trades and the positive/negative verdict.

100x Options Calculator FAQ

What is the 100x Options Profit Calculator?
The 100x Options Profit Calculator estimates whether an options trade has positive or negative expectancy over 100 similar trades. You enter max loss, max profit, and the probability of each outcome; the tool computes weighted profit, weighted loss, and the expected result.
When does this calculator work?
It only applies to strategies with a fixed maximum risk and a fixed maximum gain on the trade — for example, a defined-risk spread or a single long option with a capped loss equal to premium paid. It does not work for undefined-risk strategies.
How do I enter the probability fields?
Enter each probability as a number only (e.g. 25 for 25%), not as a decimal. The calculator multiplies max profit or max loss by that percentage value to produce the weighted outcome over 100 trades, matching the original Benzinga 100x tool.
What is positive expectancy in options trading?
Positive expectancy means that, over many repetitions of the same trade setup, you expect to make money on average — even if individual trades win or lose. Negative expectancy means the setup loses money over time. Expectancy is separate from win rate: a strategy can lose often but still have positive expectancy if winners are large enough.
How is this different from the Options Profit Calculator?
Benzinga’s main Options Profit Calculator models P&L at expiration for specific strategies using live options chain data — max profit, max loss, and breakeven for a chosen strike and premium. The 100x calculator does not load a ticker; it answers a different question: given your estimated odds and payoff caps, is the trade worth repeating?

Strategy P&L Calculators

Once you know a setup has positive expectancy, model exact profit and loss at expiration with live options data.