MoviePass Has Little To Fear From Cinemark's Movie Club, Analyst Says


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Helios and Matheson Analytics Inc (NASDAQ:HMNY) stock is down 23.9 percent this week after Cinemark Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:CNK) announced its own subscription movie ticket service to rival Helios’ MoviePass. While investors clearly see Cinemark’s Movie Club as a threat to MoviePass, Maxim analyst and Helios bull Brian Kinstlinger said Tuesday that Helios investors have nothing to worry about.

Where’s The Value?

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Cinemark’s service doesn’t offer the type of value moviegoers can get from MoviePass, Kinstlinger said. (See his track record here.) 

Movie Club offers subscribers a single monthly ticket for $8.99 per month, whereas MoviePass subscribers get up to one ticket per day for $9.95.

Kinstlinger said he sees limited success for Cinemark’s new service at its current price.

“Given we argue Cinemark loyalists would benefit more from a MoviePass subscription in many cases, we expect only limited adoption of the Cinemark subscription offer."

Maxim estimates that MoviePass has already reached 1 million subscribers and is well on its way to the 2 million mark.

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Others see Cinemark as the better play for investors. On Tuesday, Loop Capital analyst David Miller said MoviePass may offer a better value for customers, but Cinemark’s Movie Club is actually designed to generate profits for investors.

“Unlike MoviePass, which we believe is not sustainable in offering unlimited moviegoing at [a recent promotional rate of] $6.95/month, this mechanism is priced to actually produce operating income and not be a loss leader,” Miller wrote.

How To Play It

Investors so far haven’t rewarded Cinemark for the new service, but they have certainly punished Helios.

Maxim maintains a Buy rating and $25 price target for Helios and Matheson.

Loop Capital maintains a Buy rating and $47 price target for Cinemark.

Related Links:

Cinemark's Movie Club Steps Up The Competition With MoviePass

Why MoviePass Could Hit 1 Million Users This Year And What It Means For Helios & Matheson 


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Posted In: Analyst ColorPrice TargetReiterationAnalyst RatingsBrian KintslingerDavid MillerLoop CapitalMaximMoviePass