The aftermath of SVB Financial Group's Silicon Valley Bank collapse rocked the financial world, and investors have been keeping a close eye on regional banks' volatile stocks affected by the significant bank failure.
Overall sentiment on the Street is that most regional banks are expected to report lower deposit levels as customers shift to more prominent institutions. Moderate earnings growth is expected to come from an increase in net interest income, already priced into the share prices.
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Shares of First Republic Bank FRC, the bank most investors are keeping on watchlists, tanked after revealing massive deposit outflows in its late Monday earnings, following mixed reports last week from the following:
- Zions Bancorporation ZION
- Western Alliance Bancorporation WAL
- Truist Financial Corp TFC
- KeyCorp KEY
- Comerica Incorporated CMA
- Regions Financial Corp RF
While First Republic's earnings dropped 38.5% to $1.23 per share, and revenue fell 13.4% to $1.2 billion, the bank is exploring strategic alternatives to reduce its asset-liability mismatch and shore up its balance sheet to avoid being seized by the FDIC.
The bank may sell $50 billion to $100 billion in long-term securities and mortgages and could offer warrants or preferred equity to potential buyers above market value.
On the other hand, Western Alliance reported adjusted earnings rose 3.6% to $2.30 per share, while Truist earnings rose 6% to $1.05 per share, and Regions earnings jumped nearly 13% to 62 cents per share.
Comerica earnings rocketed 74% to $2.39 per share, while KeyCorp earnings tumbled 33% to 30 cents per share.
Zions earnings rose 4.7% to $1.33 per share, and analysts expect adjusted earnings to tick up to $5.85 per share on 6% revenue growth for the full year.
Although it may take until 2024 for the firms to feel the full impacts of the March collapse, in the meantime, the Street expects some moderate earnings growth, driven by an increase in net interest income.
Are you buying the dip on regionals? Check out the price action below:
Bank |
Ticker |
1-month |
1-year |
Zions Bancorporation |
ZION |
-9.36% |
-52.38% |
Western Alliance |
WAL |
+12.36% |
-49.88% |
Truist Financial |
TFC |
-6.98% |
-39.11% |
KeyCorp |
KEY |
-14.61% |
-46.43% |
Comerica Inc |
CMA |
-3.15% |
-49.6% |
Regions Financial |
RF |
-2.85% |
-15.6% |
First Republic |
FRC |
-57.6% |
-96.15% |
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