3 Reasons The Street Faded Credit Suisse's Bullish Call On eBay


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A rating upgrade by Credit Suisse, though producing early excitement in the eBay Inc

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(NASDAQ:EBAY) corner last Monday, is unlikely to generate sustained buying in the stock.

Credit Suisse Upbeat On eBay

Credit Suisse in a note released last Monday upgraded shares of eBay to Outperform from Neutral, while also lifting the price target to $44 from $34. Analysts Paul Bieber and Vikram Kesavabhotla see the company as an Internet value story with several paths to value creation.

While terming the company as a turnaround story, the analysts said marketplace growth is stable and has the potential to accelerate in the second half of 2017 and 2018, driven by platform changes and product innovation.


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Out of the 37 analysts covering the stock, 20 analysts have Hold ratings on eBay and 10 have Buy ratings, according to Yahoo's database. The average price target is $35.63.

Why The Pre-Market Rally Triggered By The Upgrade Couldn't Be Sustained

  • With the early move suggesting that the stock could rally in reaction to the upgrade, some of the outstanding orders would not have been executed amid expectations for a higher price for liquidation.
  • EBay ran into whole-number resistance theory, thus stifling its move above the $36 level. Day traders treat every $1 whole number increment or decrement (for stocks valued at over $10) as probable support/resistance levels, as they think stocks are fairly valued at these levels. These whole numbers are considered as levels where institutional and retail orders converge. The move to $36 from $35 level could have triggered some selling by traders, who would have deemed the whole number move to $36 as offering resistance to the stock.
  • After a broad consolidation phase seen from mid-February to mid-April, the stock experienced a pullback around its first quarter earnings date only to begin a recovery since late-April. From a post-earnings low of $32.05, the stock has gained about $3. Since May 17, when it was priced at $33.58, the stock has run up $2 in about 11 sessions. The stock had hit an all-time high of $35.32 last Friday and closed at fresh record of $35.55 on Monday, although off its pre-market highs of $36.4.
Source: Y Charts

Although eBay could not capitalize much on the upgrade, given that it has run up too much, too fast in recent sessions, Credit Suisse's price target of $44 suggests roughly 24-percent upside from current levels.

Related Links: 4 Reasons Even eBay Fans Are Cautious On The Stock The Bull Case For eBay In 2017

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Posted In: Analyst ColorLong IdeasUpgradesTechnicalsAnalyst RatingsMoversTechTrading IdeasCredit SuissePaul BieberVikram Kesavabhotla