November 21, 2011 11:38 PM | 2 min read |
27% profit every 20 days?
This is what Nic Chahine averages with his option buys. Not selling covered calls or spreads… BUYING options. Most traders don’t even have a winning percentage of 27% buying options. He has an 83% win rate. Here’s how he does it.
These days, it seems everywhere investors turn, there's an excuse not to be involved with oil ETFs. That goes for the equity-based ones, too. Whether it's because of China, Europe or the U.S., there have been ample reasons to be skittish about oil stocks and ETFs in recent weeks.The other side of that coin is there are now some worthwhile oil ETFs trading at attractive, almost bargain bin prices. Perhaps one of them is the IndexIQ Global Oil Small Cap Equity ETF (NYSE: IOIL), a 61-stock ETF that made its debut in May.Since its debut, the IndexIQ Global Oil Small Cap Equity ETF has managed to haul in almost $1.7 million in assets under management, but average daily volume is light at 1,800 shares. In fact, just 330 shares in IOIL changed hands on Monday. Those statistics aren't going to win any ETF beauty pageants, but IOIL still has a story to tell. If nothing else, the ETF is unique in the world of equity-based oil funds. Most of these funds are heavy on either U.S.- or Europe-based exploration and production companies or U.S.-based services providers. Yes, the U.S. and Canada combine for 61% of IOIL's weight, but good luck finding another oil ETF with 6.5% exposure to Thailand. Or any exposure at all to Finland. And good luck finding an oil ETF that allocates over 43% of its weight to refiners. That just doesn't happen very often. Speaking of refiners, HollyFrontier (NYSE: HFC) and Tesoro (NYSE: TSO) account for 14% of IOIL's weight.And speaking of takeover targets, IOIL has a few of them, including Lufkin Industries (Nasdaq: LUFK). Overall, IOIL has an interesting potpourri of lesser-known yet not always small-cap oil stocks that are just as levered to oil prices as their bigger counterparts.Looking at the chart, IOIL is in the proverbial no man's land right now. Downside risk is to $13, but significant upside can be had if the ETF cracks resistance just below $18. For now, it's probably best to stay on the sidelines, but not forget about this ETF.Bull case: Oil prices resume their up move and energy sector mergers and acquisitions see a brisk pace in 2012.Bear case:Global economies weaken and investors depart all small-caps, regardless of sector.
27% profit every 20 days?
This is what Nic Chahine averages with his option buys. Not selling covered calls or spreads… BUYING options. Most traders don’t even have a winning percentage of 27% buying options. He has an 83% win rate. Here’s how he does it.
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