Darden Restaurants Analyst Downgrades Olive Garden Owner On Softening Trends


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Restaurant operator Darden Restaurants, Inc. (NYSE:DRI) continues to benefit from "significant" economies of scale and buying power, but a projection of softer customer traffic, weaker comps and cost pressures has led Argus to drop its bullish stance. 

The Darden Restaurants Analyst

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John Staszak downgraded Darden Restaurants stock rating from Buy to Hold with no price target.

The Darden Restaurants Thesis

Darden reported a 5-cent EPS beat in its fiscal second quarter at $1.12, while revenue growth of 4.2% to $2.06 billion matched estimates, Staszak said in a Friday downgrade note. (See his track record here.)

Yet blended same-store sales across all brands slowed from 2.9% last year to 2%, although this did mark the 21st consecutive quarter of positive growth, the analyst said. 

While there is reason to be concerned with softer customer traffic, a return to a bullish rating is possible if trends improve more than expected, he said.

A bullish stance would also be justified if the company's cost pressures moderate, Staszak said. 


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In addition, Darden will likely face higher labor and health care-related costs for the full fiscal year 2020, the analyst said. 

Argus is reducing its 2020 EPS estimate from $6.50 to $6.40 and moving the 2021 estimate lower from $7.30 to $7.10 per share. 

Darden remains among the best-managed casual dining companies, Staszak said.

Over the long-term, a combination of share buybacks, unit expansion and other factors will yield EPS growth, the analyst said. 

Darden Restaurants Price Action

The stock was trading down 0.49% at $108.35 at the time of publication. 

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27% profit every 20 days?

This is what Nic Chahine averages with his option buys. Not selling covered calls or spreads… BUYING options. Most traders don’t even have a winning percentage of 27% buying options. He has an 83% win rate. Here’s how he does it.


Posted In: Analyst ColorDowngradesRestaurantsAnalyst RatingsGeneralArgus ResearchJohn StaszakOlive Garden