KeyBanc's Key Takeaways From Meetings With Knight-Swift Transportation Management


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Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc (NYSE:KNX) is a good choice for investors seeking truckload exposure, given the compelling stock valuation and the company’s focus on operational improvement across segments and its reduced leverage which supports capital deployment, according to KeyBanc Capital Markets.

The Analyst

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KeyBanc’s Todd Fowler maintained an Overweight rating on Knight-Swift Transportation with a price target of $44.

The Thesis

Meetings with Knight-Swift Transportation’s CEO Dave Jackson indicated expectations of a seasonal upturn in trends during the holiday period, albeit below last year’s levels, Fowler said in the note.

The bid activity for 2019 has almost been completed and suggests only a modest improvement in contract renewals. Revenue per mile is expected to be negative in the back half of the year, reflecting fewer non-contract opportunities, Fowler noted.

Fundamentals could bottom in the near term due to lower truck orders and increased carrier failures, the analyst said, while adding that rates may improve in 2020, backed easier comps.


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Management’s guidance for the back half of 2019 seemed achievable, Fowler mentioned.

He further added that management meetings suggested continued efforts to improve margins through operational initiatives.

“With the Swift Truckload adjusted operating ratio 200-400 bps above Knight Truckload, we see potential for further incremental improvement,” the analyst wrote.

Price Action

Shares of Knight-Swift Transportation had declined 2.8% to $32.87 at time of publishing on Wednesday.

Related Links

Knight-Swift Cuts Guidance, Shares Fall

Knight-Swift's Results In-Line With Recently Lowered Guidance


27% profit every 20 days?

This is what Nic Chahine averages with his option buys. Not selling covered calls or spreads… BUYING options. Most traders don’t even have a winning percentage of 27% buying options. He has an 83% win rate. Here’s how he does it.


Posted In: Analyst ColorReiterationAnalyst RatingsKeyBanc Capital MarketsTodd Fowler