ConocoPhillips 'Exhibiting Capital Discipline,' Goldman Sachs Says In Upgrade


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ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP) peaked last week after fourth-quarter earnings exceeded Street estimates. The strong performance was enough to get Goldman Sachs back on board with the stock. 

The Analyst 

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Analyst Neil Mehta upgraded ConocoPhillips from Neutral to Buy and increased the price target from $76 to $82.

The Thesis

Mehta sees an attractive entry point given the stock’s recent pullback and promising opportunities for fundamental growth.

By his estimates, ConocoPhillips could benefit from improved long-term differentials internationally and a decline in operating costs.

“Among the U.S. majors, we believe ConocoPhillips is exemplary of a company exhibiting capital discipline,” the analyst said.


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“Particularly as we see a weakening of the commodity price environment in 2019 ($63/bbl Brent) versus 2018 ($71/bbl), we view favorably companies that are able to maintain flat-to-lower budgets while maintaining a level of baseline growth.”

Goldman Sachs raised its cash-flow estimates for 2019 through 2022 by an average of 8 percent.

Mehta forecast improving returns on capital that could even exceed the rates of leaders like Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE:XOM). Additionally, the analyst anticipates higher oil volumes in Alaska, the continental U.S. and Asia.

“We believe long-term growth opportunities are underappreciated, including Alaska, Australia and Qatar." 

Price Action

ConocoPhillips shares were up 0.73 percent at $69.18 at the time of publication Monday. 

Related Links:

RBC Downgrades ConocoPhillips After Stock's Big 2018 Run

BMO Offers 11 Reasons To Like ConocoPhillips


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Posted In: Analyst ColorUpgradesPrice TargetAnalyst RatingsGoldman SachsNeil Mehta