Analyst Drops Bearish Ball Corp. Thesis After EPS, Sales Beat


27% profits every 20 days?

This is what Nic Chahine averages with his options buys. Not selling covered calls or spreads... BUYING options. Most traders don't even have a winning percentage of 27% buying options. He has an 83% win rate. Here's how he does it.


Ball Corporation (NYSE:BLL) reported fourth quarter results Feb. 7 with a top-and-bottom-line beat.

The Analyst

KeyBanc Capital Markets' Adam Josephson upgraded Ball's stock rating from Underweight to Sector Weight with no assigned price target.

The Thesis

Ball's Q4 earnings report was "impressive," with "exceptionally good" performance in South America and "good performance" in Europe, Josephson said in the upgrade note.

The results also signaled challenging fundamentals in certain cases — for example, the U.S. beverage and food can segment declined and competition in Brazil will remain heightened in 2018 and 2019, the analyst said. 

Given a few challenges ahead, KeyBanc is modeling Ball's 2018 adjusted EBITDA at $1.84 billion, which does represent an increase from a prior estimate of $1.75 billion. The figure is also modestly below the company's implied guidance and the consensus estimate of around $1.875 billion.

Ball's stock has fallen 7 percent since Josephson downgraded to Underweight Dec. 8. Following the weakness, the stock is trading at a 10-percent premium to its packaging peers on an EV/EBITDA basis compared to 15 percent at the time of the downgrade and a 17-percent historical premium over the past five years, according to KeyBanc. 

Price Action

Ball Corp. shares were trading up slightly midday Monday at $37.95. 

Ball Corp, Silgan Holdings Downgraded As Industry Concerns Mount

Jim Cramer Advises His Viewers On Align Technology, Kennametal And More


27% profits every 20 days?

This is what Nic Chahine averages with his options buys. Not selling covered calls or spreads... BUYING options. Most traders don't even have a winning percentage of 27% buying options. He has an 83% win rate. Here's how he does it.


ENTER TO WIN $500 IN STOCK OR CRYPTO

Enter your email and you'll also get Benzinga's ultimate morning update AND a free $30 gift card and more!

Posted In: Analyst ColorUpgradesAnalyst RatingsAdam JosephsonKeyBanc Capital Marketspackaging