UPS Represents A Consistent Secular EPS Growth Opportunity


27% profit every 20 days?

This is what Nic Chahine averages with his option buys. Not selling covered calls or spreads… BUYING options. Most traders don’t even have a winning percentage of 27% buying options. He has an 83% win rate. Here’s how he does it.


Aegis Capital believes United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) could grow secular EPS on a consistent basis, along with meaningful shareholder returns, despite investments over the next couple years that could weigh on margins and cash flow.

“While longer term, we look for 5-6 percent revenue growth to drive a consistent 10-14 percent total return profile CAGR for investors," Aegis analyst Jeffrey Kauffman said in his report. "For the next 2-3 years, this will look more like 4-6 percent revenue growth driving 5-10 EPS growth and 8-13 percnet total returns."

The comments came after UPS’ investor day, where the company announced its three-year outlook, as well as accelerated capital projects that are intended to cut unit costs in the domestic network and increase operating flexibility.

UPS announced the rollout of Saturday pickup and delivery, and said it's embracing newer technologies such as autonomous vehicles and drone delivery services.

Related Link: What Is A 'Best Of Breed' Stock?

The company said its investments would bring near-term profit and cash flow to the tune of $100-200 million in annual operating profit, and draw down cash flow by $1-1.5 billion. That said, UPS believes when the investments are finished, they'll create about $800 million to $1 billion in annual cost savings for the company.

“Operating cash flows averaging $8-$10 billion, even after capital spending in the $4 billion range, should still result in free cash flows of $4-6 billion, which can still support our $120 valuation, even in a higher-than-average investment phase,” Kauffman said.

Kaufman has a Buy rating on UPS shares, which, at last check, fell 2.20 percent to $105.36.


27% profit every 20 days?

This is what Nic Chahine averages with his option buys. Not selling covered calls or spreads… BUYING options. Most traders don’t even have a winning percentage of 27% buying options. He has an 83% win rate. Here’s how he does it.


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Posted In: Analyst ColorReiterationAnalyst RatingsAegis CapitalJeffrey Kauffman