SunTrust's Bob Peck Highlights Strong Positives From Facebook's Q1 And What To Expect Moving Forward


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In a report published Thursday, SunTrust Robinson Humphrey analyst Robert (Bob) Peck commented on Facebook Inc

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(NASDAQ: FB)'s first quarter results, highlighting various strengths while offering key themes to follow in the remainder of the year.Positives From The Quarter:
  • U.S. and Canada average revenue per user rose 48 percent year over year (versus 55 percent last quarter) on a tougher comp.
  • Global average revenue per user rose 37 percent year over year ex-foreign exchange (versus 39 percent in the fourth quarter).
  • Video views per day rose to four billion (from three billion in October). This is important since frequency of video in stream helps determine video ad load.
  • Facebook realized one billion daily searches.
  • Over two million advertisers operate on the platform.
  • Ad platform showing strong engagement.
Items To Watch:
  • Second quarter foreign exchange impact will be greater than the seven percent hit in the first quarter.
  • High-end of spending guidance was lowered to 60 percent from 65 percent, capital expenditure remained the same at around $3 billion and the returns on these investments may take years to materialize.
  • Investor expectations remain high and some may overestimate the timing of adoption and roll out of new products (i.e Video and Instagram monetization).
Second Quarter Estimates:Adjusting for first quarter results, foreign exchange and Facebook's guidance, the analyst is now expecting Facebook to earn $0.46 per share on revenue of $3.9 billion. For the full fiscal year, Facebook is expected to earn $1.97 per share on revenue of $17 billion. Looking forward to fiscal 2016, Facebook is expected to earn $2.70 per share on revenue of $22.9 billion.Shares remain Buy rated with a price target raised to $100 from a previous $90.

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Posted In: Analyst ColorAnalyst RatingsBob PeckFacebookFacebook MobileFacebook SearchFacebook VideoInstagramSunTrust Robinson Humphrey