UPDATE: Citigroup Downgrades Walter Energy on Lowered 2014 EBITDA Estimate


27% profit every 20 days?

This is what Nic Chahine averages with his option buys. Not selling covered calls or spreads… BUYING options. Most traders don’t even have a winning percentage of 27% buying options. He has an 83% win rate. Here’s how he does it.


In a report published Monday, Citigroup analyst Brian Yu downgraded the rating on Walter Energy (NYSE: WLT) from Buy to Neutral, and lowered the price target from $20.00 to $19.00.In the report, Citigroup noted, “Spot benchmark hard coking coal (HCC) prices have dropped down to $141/tonne (Australia) vs the 4Q13 settlement of $152/tonne and the 3Q13 settlement of $145/tonne, contrary to the steady rise we previously expected. While we have lowered our 1Q14 settlement expectation to $155/tonne from $160/tonne, there could be further downside risk unless we see further supply reductions, whether it be curtailments on the part of high-cost US producers (ANR, ACI and smaller miners) or unanticipated supply disruptions (Australia weather driven). As a result, we are lowering our 2014 EBITDA estimate to $361 mln. Because of WLT's more levered balance sheet, we expect the company to trade at a lower EV/EBITDA than met-levered peers such as ANR, and at 10x 2014 EV/EBITDA, our target drops to $19/sh for an ETR of $12.5%, downgrading to Neutral/High Risk.”Walter Energy closed on Friday at $16.93.

27% profit every 20 days?

This is what Nic Chahine averages with his option buys. Not selling covered calls or spreads… BUYING options. Most traders don’t even have a winning percentage of 27% buying options. He has an 83% win rate. Here’s how he does it.


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Posted In: Analyst ColorDowngradesAnalyst RatingsBrian YuCitigroup