Good Morning Everyone!
Remember, today at 2pm, a group of middle-aged financial experts determines whether or not millions of Robinhood traders get margin called.
Prices as of 4 pm EST, 11/1/22; % YTD
MARKET UPDATE
2 p.m. Fed Reserve Rate decision
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Volatility is relatively LOW heading into the Fed Meeting
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4th straight rate hike of 75 basis points expected
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More important: messaging on how the Fed proceeds from here
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2:30 p.m. Powell press conference
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Will Powell say: we are not done
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Powell can’t be happy about the spectacular rally in the DOW in October / this is not what Powell wants
China orders a 7-day lockdown of iPhone City (Foxconn’s main plant in Zhengzhou)
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Foxconn had a Covid flare-up that forced 200,000 staff into quarantine
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Lockdown will last until November 9
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The abrupt action reflects Beijing’s Covid Zero approach
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Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) pre-market is down 1%
Russia
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said it would resume participation in the Ukrainian grain deal
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Wheat down 6%, Corn down 2%
Crude 88 flat
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API Crude and product inventories out last night had little impact on Crude
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Fed Day is more important
Maersk container vessels
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A bellwether for global trade
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Believes global demand will shrink by 4% in 2022 and will be down in 2023
Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) hit a new year-to-date low yesterday
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Amazon paused hiring in their Ad business
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Any cost cutting measures will be viewed positive by investors
Autos
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U.S. supply 32 days 18 month high
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U.S. SAAR 15.3 million units 17 month high
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Incentives were down 47% year-over-year but up 2.7% month-over-month
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Inventory days supply is 32 days vs. 30 days last month and 23 days last year
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Mix remains strong favouring trucks: Car vs. light truck mix at 21% / 79%
Opioid Settlement
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Final settlement positive for pharmacies
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$12-13.8 billion for the big three retail pharmacies
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$21 billion announced in 2021 for the big 3 distributors
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CVS (NYSE:CVS) + 2%
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Walgreens Boots Alliance (NASDAQ:WBA) +2%
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Walmart (NYSE:WMT) flat
Earnings
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Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD)
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Mondelez (NASDAQ:MDLZ)
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Airbnb (NASDAQ:ABNB) beat but guide below street
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McKesson (NYSE:MCK)
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Public Storage (NYSE:PSA)
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Devon Energy (NYSE:DVN) Earnings and FCF beat, capex below consensus
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AIG (NYSE:AIG) EPS beat
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Prudential (NYSE:PRU) EPS beat
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Energy Transfer (NYSE:ET)
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CVS Health (NYSE:CVS) agreed to pay $5 billion to settle opioid lawsuits
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Estee Lauder (NYSE:EL) -8%, guide down to 2023
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Progressive Insurance (NYSE:PGR)
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Humana (NYSE:HUM)
CRYPTO UPDATE
International regulation
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G-20 will prioritize crypto regulation
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Third objective of India’s G-20 presidency
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Year-long presidency
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Takes over starting in December
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Hong Kong warming up to crypto
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Exploring giving access to retail crypto trading and ETFs
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Considering range of pro-crypto measures
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Mainland China much more strict
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Blanket ban on all crypto in September 2021
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Recent crypto trademark filings
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Visa (NYSE:V)
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PayPal (NASDAQ:PYPL)
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Western Union (NYSE:WU)
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Viking Cruises
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Ulta (NASDAQ:ULTA)
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Del Monte (NYSE:FDP)
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Kraft (NASDAQ:KHC)
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Inn-N-Out
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Takis
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Moët Hennessy
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Formula One
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DraftKing (NASDAQ:DKNG)
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