BMO Raises Estimates For Texas Instruments After Earnings Beat


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Texas Instruments Incorporated (NASDAQ:TXN) reported a second quarter beat and guided to a fourth consecutive quarter of revenue decline.

The company has much higher free cash flow and earnings potential than it did in past cycles, according to BMO Capital Markets.

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The Analyst

BMO’s Ambrish Srivastava maintained an Outperform rating on Texas Instruments while raising the price target from $130 to $150.

The Thesis

Texas Instruments reported second-quarter revenue and EPS at $3.67 billion and $1.29, respectively, both of which beat BMO’s estimates of $3.6 billion and $1.22, Srivastava said in the note. He added that the earnings beat was driven by higher gross margins of 64.3% and lower OpEx.

Among the key points noted by Srivastava was the company’s ability to ship a large portion of its products to Huawei. While adhering to the new rules, Texas Instruments was able to minimize their revenue impact.

As expected, the company guided to a modest year-on-year revenue decline in fourth quarter, with growth returning in first quarter 2020.

“TI has correctly observed that typical cycles are usually accompanied by 4-5 quarters of y-y declines before returning to growth,” Srivastava wrote.

EPS guidance for fourth quarter came in at $1.42, above BMO’s estimate of $1.31 and the consensus expectation of $1.38. The analyst raised the GAAP EPS estimates for 2019 and 2020 EPS from $5.04 to $5.37 and from $6.00 to $6.17, respectively.

Price Action

Shares of Texas Instruments had spiked 7.4% to $128.76 at time of publishing on Wednesday.


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Posted In: Analyst ColorEarningsNewsPrice TargetReiterationAnalyst RatingsAmbrish SrivastavaBMO Capital Markets