Jefferies Upgrades Deere, Cites 'Significantly Improved Farmer Income Outlook'


27% profit every 20 days?

This is what Nic Chahine averages with his option buys. Not selling covered calls or spreads… BUYING options. Most traders don’t even have a winning percentage of 27% buying options. He has an 83% win rate. Here’s how he does it.


Farmer buying power will remain pressured for 2019, but this will change for the better next year and will help support Deere & Company (NYSE:DE), according to Jefferies.

The Analyst

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Jefferies' Stephen Volkmann upgraded Deere from Hold to Buy with a price target lifted from $150 to $190.

The Thesis

Agricultural fundamentals and farmers buying power should improve in 2020 as increased global demand will support global crop and livestock markets, Volkmann wrote in a note. If correct, farmers will likely invest in their operations by replacing and upgrading equipment, both domestically and internationally.

Volkmann said North American large agricultural equipment should see a double-digit growth rate and Deere is well positioned as the "largest and highest quality" way of gaining exposure. The company should be able to deliver a growth rate north of the 5% consensus estimate in addition to recording incremental margins "well north" of its 20% to 25% historical range.

Even if large U.S. agricultural equipment sales increase by 30% to 35% next year, Volkmann said it will still be at a consistent growth rate with the 15-year average. If this plays out, Deere could realize over $14 in earnings per share power and warrant a higher stock multiple versus prior cycles.

Price Action

Shares of Deere were trading higher by 1.6% to $166.90 on Monday afternoon.

Related Links:

Tariffs, Trade Cloud Short-Term Future For Deere, But RBC Says Plow Ahead

Bank Of America Downgrades Deere After Big Run


27% profit every 20 days?

This is what Nic Chahine averages with his option buys. Not selling covered calls or spreads… BUYING options. Most traders don’t even have a winning percentage of 27% buying options. He has an 83% win rate. Here’s how he does it.


Posted In: Analyst ColorUpgradesPrice TargetTop StoriesAnalyst RatingsagriculturefarmFarming equipmentJefferiesStephen Volkmann