Analysts React To Red Hat's Q1 Earnings, Downbeat Forecast


Crypto Whales Are Loading Up — Are You?

New research shows the biggest crypto buyers are back. And this time? They could hold for the possibility that Bitcoin will surpass $100,000 in 2024. You don’t want to miss the next massive crypto bull run like we saw in 2020 and 2021. To know exactly what’s going on and what to buy… Get Access To Benzinga’s Best Crypto Research and Investments For Only $1.


Red Hat Inc (NYSE:RHT) stock tanked more than 12 percent Friday after the company’s first-quarter earnings report failed to wow the market. Red Hat also announced a $1 billion buyback.

A number of analysts have weighed in on Red Hat stock following the report. Here’s a sampling of what they had to say.

ENTER TO WIN $500 IN STOCK OR CRYPTO

Enter your email and you'll also get Benzinga's ultimate morning update AND a free $30 gift card and more!

Billings Slowdown

Morgan Stanley analyst Keith Weiss said Red Hat failed to follow its winning recipe of sustaining billings while improving margins.

“Red Hat began FY19 on an underwhelming note, with Q1 billings slowing to 9% cc after growing 20% in FY18 and missing consensus by ~2%,” Weiss wrote in a note.

Raymond James said slowing middleware growth unfavorable forex environment and lower contract duration weighed on Red Hat’s Q1.

“Billings growth slowed meaningfully to 9%CC last quarter, hurt by shorter duration and potentially just less positive ordering trends,” the firm wrote.

Valuation Perspective

William Blair analyst Jason Ader said investors shouldn’t allow one bad quarter to make them miss the forest for the trees.


FREE REPORT: How To Learn Options Trading Fast

In this special report, you will learn the four best strategies for trading options, how to stay safe as a complete beginner, ​a 411% trade case study, PLUS how to access two new potential winning options trades starting today.Claim Your Free Report Here.


“We believe that the messy first-quarter print needs to be kept in context: we estimate first-quarter total bookings grew about 15% in constant currency (adjusted for a change in off-balance-sheet backlog, well above the 9% billings growth) and management reaffirmed both fiscal year 2019 revenue guidance of 16%-17% growth in constant currency and operating cash flow of $1.04 billion (13% year-over-year growth),” Ader wrote.

Credit Suisse analyst Brad Zelnick said even in-line guidance is disappointing for a stock trading at such a high valuation.

“Unlike recent disappointments in ORCL, ADBE and WDAY, we believe this event may be too difficult to dismiss as a harbinger of deceleration in enterprise IT spend,” Zelnick wrote.

Oppenheimer analyst Ittai Kidron said Red Hat stock will likely remained range-bound in the near-term after the market saw some cracks in the Red Hat armor.

“Overall, we believe Red Hat is still well-positioned over the long term to gain share in hybrid cloud due to its comprehensive solution stack (OpenShift, Ansible, JBoss, OpenStack),” Kidron wrote.

Ratings And Targets

  • Morgan Stanley has an Equal-Weight rating and $150 target.
  • Raymond James has a Market Perform rating.
  • William Blair has an Outperform rating.
  • Credit Suisse has a Neutral rating and $150 target.
  • Oppenheimer has an Outperform rating and $175 target.

The stock traded around $144.95 at time of publication.

Related Links:

KeyBanc Remains Bullish On Red Hat Despite Slowing Middleware Growth, Forex Headwind

Raymond James Downgrades Red Hat Ahead Of Q1 Print


Crypto Whales Are Loading Up — Are You?

New research shows the biggest crypto buyers are back. And this time? They could hold for the possibility that Bitcoin will surpass $100,000 in 2024. You don’t want to miss the next massive crypto bull run like we saw in 2020 and 2021. To know exactly what’s going on and what to buy… Get Access To Benzinga’s Best Crypto Research and Investments For Only $1.


Posted In: Analyst ColorEarningsNewsPrice TargetTop StoriesAnalyst RatingsTrading IdeasBrad ZelnickCredit SuisseIttai KidronJason AderKeith WeissMorgan StanleyOppenheimerWilliam Blair