In a new blog post, former PIMCO chief economist Paul McCulley discusses his frustrations with todayâs economists. McCulleyâs most recent disappointment has to do with the communityâs reaction to the surprisingly weak U.S. jobs report in May.
Rather than focusing on the underlying cause of the weakness, he observed the majority of the post-report discussion was about whether or not the Federal Reserve now has egg on its face after it had previously hinted at a June interest rate hike.
âNo, the egg belongs on the face of my profession, which refuses to openly acknowledge that the economyâs existential woe is a deficiency of aggregate spending, for which fiscal policy expansionâread dramatically larger fiscal debtsâis the solution, not near-zero Fed policy rates,â McCulley argues.
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âMost ordinary people would submit that as long as weâre talking about interest rates in terms of zero-point-something, were talking about the moral equivalent of zero,â he added.
McCulley argues that what the U.S. economy really needs is more public spending. He says that fiscal deficits should be âdramatically biggerâ in order to boost spending by the middle class.
The only reason the Federal Reserve would need to consider raising interest rates would be if the economy becomes overheated, which it is nowhere close to at the moment.
âOur country can âaffordâ prosperity. It really can,â MCulley writes. âThere is absolutely no imperative whatsoever for the Federal Reserve to enforce anti-inflation discipline on fiscal policy.â
McCulley calls for fiscal and monetary authorities to have the courage to ramp-up public spending and for the government to print however much money is necessary to create genuine economic growth until inflation forces the Fed to raise interest rates.
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