Citigroup: Yahoo!'s Risk To Reward Is Favorable


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Mark May of Citigroup resumed coverage of Yahoo!

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(NASDAQ: YAHOO) on Wednesday with a Buy rating and $63 price target due to fundamental and event driven reasons.From the fundamental point of view, the analyst notes that shares at $45 reflect the following:1. Alibaba's (NYSE: BABA) current equity value and a high likelihood of a fully-taxed sale of its 15 percent stake is valued at $24 per share.2. A zero percent compounded annual growth rate and a five times EBITDA multiple for Yahoo!'s core offering is valued at $14 per share.3. Yahoo! Japan's current equity value and a fully-taxed sale of the company's 35 percent stake is valued at $4 per share.4. Accretion from $3 billion in share repurchases translates to an additional valuation of $3 per share.A price target of $63 assumes a $118 price target for Alibaba shares and a tax-efficient sale of Yahoo!'s stake and a two percent revenue compounded annual growth rate and six times EBITDA multiple for Yahoo!'s core brand.May notes upcoming catalysts that support a higher valuation on shares include a greater than 50 percent likelihood the company will announce it plans to liquidate its Alibaba stake in a tax-efficient manner in 2015. The analyst expects a “significant” share buyback activity in 2015. Finally, the analyst expects Yahoo! restructuring its search agreement with Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) in 2015.

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Posted In: NewsAlibabaMark MayYahooYahoo JapanYahoo!