Biden Vs. Trump: New Poll Points To 'Positive Shift' That Could Prop Up Chances Of One Candidate In Potentially Tight Race


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Donald Trump and Joe Biden are on a collision course for a 2024 presidential election rematch, and while the former maintains a slight edge, a recent poll reveals a glimmer of hope for the Democratic camp.

What Happened: In a hypothetical matchup between Biden and Trump, the latter has the support of 46% of the voters, one point more than Biden’s 46%, the results of the January Emerson College Polling national survey showed.

The poll was held on Jan. 26-29, 2023, and it surveyed 1,260 voters.

Since December, Trump has seen a one-point decline in support compared to a two-point improvement by Biden. 

“Biden's approval among independent voters has seen a four-point improvement since December, rising from 33% to 37%,” said Spencer Kimball, Executive Director of Emerson College Polling.

“Although still underwater, this reflects a positive shift. Additionally, his disapproval among independents has decreased from 52% to 45%.”

The views mirror the findings from the Gallup poll released last week. To improve his chances of re-election, Biden should work toward increasing his job approval rating to 50% in the fourth year of his presidency from 39.8% in the third year, the pollster’s analysis showed.

“The key to Biden’s winning reelection may lie more in convincing a larger share of independents that he is doing a good job and is deserving of a second term,” Gallup had said.

The Emerson College poll showed that Trump’s chances of victory over Biden improved when third-party candidates Robert Kennedy Jr.Cornel West, and Jill Stein were added to the ballot. The tally was at 41% to 39%, in favor of Trump.

The former president’s lead expanded to five points if Biden, Trump and Haley were added to the ballot. Forty-two percent supported Trump, 37% backed Biden and 12% favored Haley, while 10% were undecided.

If the matchup was between Biden and former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley, the former had a one-point lead at 38%. But a sizable 25% of voters said they were undecided.

See Also: Biden Vs. Haley Vs. Trump: Poll Results Show How President Holds Up, If Matchup Boosts Third-Party Voting

Trump, Biden Steamroll In Respective Camps: Biden garnered the support of 72% of Democratic voters in the party’s primary and 19% were undecided. Rep. Dean Phillips (D-Minn.) and author Marianne Williamson managed to get only 4% support each.

“Biden has successfully strengthened his support among Democratic Primary voters, with undecided voters decreasing from 30% to 19% and his share of support increasing from 63% to 72%,” Kimball said.

On the Republican side, 73% backed Trump to be their 2024 nominee and 19% supported Haley, with the suspension of campaigns by businessman Vivek Ramaswamy and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis benefiting the former. Trump’s support rose 13 points compared to a 10-point improvement seen by Haley.

"Haley's strong performance among certain demographics in New Hampshire, such as college-educated and older voters, does not appear to translate to the same level of support nationally," said Kimball.

See Also: Best Penny Stocks

Image made with Midjourney AI.


27% profits every 20 days?

This is what Nic Chahine averages with his options buys. Not selling covered calls or spreads... BUYING options. Most traders don't even have a winning percentage of 27% buying options. He has an 83% win rate. Here's how he does it.


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Posted In: NewsPoliticsTop StoriesMedia2024 Presidential ElectionDonald TrumpJoe BidenNikki Haley