The Chart No Stock Investor Wants To See: 10-Year Treasury Yields Rise Above Inflation For The First Time In Three Years


27% profits every 20 days?

This is what Nic Chahine averages with his options buys. Not selling covered calls or spreads... BUYING options. Most traders don't even have a winning percentage of 27% buying options. He has an 83% win rate. Here's how he does it.


In a significant market development, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note surpassed the rate of inflation for the first time in more than three years. With the current yield at 4.04% and inflation recorded at 4% year-on-year in May 2023, this milestone signals a crucial market shift.

The difference between Treasury yields and inflation, also known as the real yield or real rate, is a crucial indicator of market risk sentiment.

Negative real yields indicate that investing in government bonds results in a loss when accounting for inflation. This typically prompts investors to seek higher returns in riskier assets like stocks, as bonds offer no protection against inflation.

However, when bond yields surge above inflation, the dynamics change dramatically. Holding the traditionally safe-haven asset of U.S. Treasury bonds now provides a yield that matches or even exceeds the inflation rate.

This can have a profound impact on the incentive to invest in risky assets, such as stocks or high-risk corporate bonds.

The iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:IEF) is an exchange-traded fund that provides exposure to the portion of the Treasury yield curve containing 10-year maturities.

The surge in real yields marks a notable shift from the deeply negative levels observed just last summer, where they reached more than 6%.

This reversal has the potential to generate significant tremors in the financial market landscape, impacting investment strategies and asset allocations.

Chart: US 10-Year Yields Now Outpace Inflation

Read Now: June Jobs Report Preview: Strong Employment Momentum Hints At Upside Surprise In Nonfarm Payrolls Data


27% profits every 20 days?

This is what Nic Chahine averages with his options buys. Not selling covered calls or spreads... BUYING options. Most traders don't even have a winning percentage of 27% buying options. He has an 83% win rate. Here's how he does it.


ENTER TO WIN $500 IN STOCK OR CRYPTO

Enter your email and you'll also get Benzinga's ultimate morning update AND a free $30 gift card and more!

Posted In: Macro Economic EventsBondsEconomics