Volatility Tracker: Options Fairly Priced


27% profits every 20 days?

This is what Nic Chahine averages with his options buys. Not selling covered calls or spreads... BUYING options. Most traders don't even have a winning percentage of 27% buying options. He has an 83% win rate. Here's how he does it.


Volatility Tracker for the week of February 1, 2010

This week saw realized volatility rise to meet last week’s spike in implied levels, although as I mentioned those spot implied levels weren’t easily sustainable. [2] I’m not the world’s greatest proponent of technical analysis, but the price charts for equities and oil deserve a look. Failure to revert toward recent averages would be further confirmation of the ill health of this market. [4,15]

With a less than one-point range over the past two weeks, the VIX futures term structure has only been this flat three times in the past year, and never two weeks in a row.[7] The relationship between current implied and recent realized volatility is such that options look fairly priced which, again, hasn’t been the case since early 2009. [6,8]

It may be worth considering some long gamma exposure to gold at these levels. [11,13]


27% profits every 20 days?

This is what Nic Chahine averages with his options buys. Not selling covered calls or spreads... BUYING options. Most traders don't even have a winning percentage of 27% buying options. He has an 83% win rate. Here's how he does it.


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