The Upcoming Earnings Problem That Could Plague Stocks


27% profit every 20 days?

This is what Nic Chahine averages with his option buys. Not selling covered calls or spreads… BUYING options. Most traders don’t even have a winning percentage of 27% buying options. He has an 83% win rate. Here’s how he does it.


The stock market faces a major headwind that could call into question the sustainability of the current bull run: 2018 earnings.

Third-quarter earnings seasons is ramping up this week with many big banks on deck to report their results.

ENTER TO WIN $500 IN STOCK OR CRYPTO

Enter your email and you'll also get Benzinga's ultimate morning update AND a free $30 gift card and more!

Many analysts and investors aren't worried, Chad Morganlander, portfolio manager at Washington Crossing Advisors explained during a recent CNBC "Trading Nation" segment. It's the 2018 earnings and revenue growth that remains concerning, for one simple reason: stocks are correlated with earnings.

In fact, there is an 80–90-percent correlation between earnings and the performance of stocks. So when revenue and earnings growth accelerate, as has been the case as of late, then stocks move higher. But earnings and revenue growth for S&P 500 companies in 2018 are likely to come in lower than current consensus estimates imply, Morganlander explained.

A major contributor for this belief stems from the oil and gas sector, he continued. The sector has contributed "substantially" to earnings growth this year as commodity prices improved. But this may not be the case over the near-term as oil and gas prices will fall and the sector will become a "drag" to the market.

On top of that, global growth expectations will likely be revised lower in the coming months which will also be an "anchor to driving expectations lower."

Related Links:

For Apple's Stock, This Technical Analyst Sees A Path Toward $180 Per Share

Stocks Are Really Quiet Now: Here's How You Can Take Advantage


27% profit every 20 days?

This is what Nic Chahine averages with his option buys. Not selling covered calls or spreads… BUYING options. Most traders don’t even have a winning percentage of 27% buying options. He has an 83% win rate. Here’s how he does it.


Posted In: CNBCEarningsNewsPreviewsMediaTrading Ideasbank earningsChad MorgandlanderEarningsearnings seasongasOilOil Earningsoil pricesTrading Nation