Will You Buy an iPad 3 in Five Weeks?

Thousands will wait in line. Several will stay overnight. Some might even camp outside an Apple Store for a week. Will you be one of them?
If not, don't expect to get an iPad 3 this spring. The highly anticipated device is expected to be unveiled during the first week of March,
AllThingsD
reported this week. All things likely, the unveiling will be followed by a one- or two-week window of anticipation, which will conclude with the release of the most anticipated tablet of the year. When the iPad 2 was released, it shattered sales expectations and frustrated consumers worldwide as they struggled to track down the snazzy iDevice. If the
rumors
prove to be true, the third iPad will come with a battery that is
twice
the capacity of the original. That alone could ensure that first-day sales figures surpass the iPad 2. If nothing else, the iPad 3 should have a better processor, some amusing app demonstrations, and a few other enhancements that will excite most Apple enthusiasts. According to the
New York Times
Twitter Hoopla
Not surprisingly, Twitter is buzzing with iPad 3 chatter this morning. “iPad 3 is going to be available ASAP after announcement, guaranteed,”
tweeted
Jonathan S. Geller, the President and Editor-in-Chief of BGR. “I hope [the] iPad 3 does have a retina display,” said
@Phlashman
. “Soon as u buy iPad 3, apple will announce iPad 3S,”
@Therealrealshiv
tweeted this morning. Twitter is also flooded with links to a
Computerworld
interview with an analyst who insists that Apple will release a seven-inch iPad at some point in the future, but not necessarily in March.
High Demand, Shortage Guaranteed?
Aside from feature predictions and sales expectations (which are high), consumers are also eager to know if Apple will be able to supply enough units to meet demand. Having firsthand experience with the iPad 2 shipping nonsense, I can tell you that Apple Stores trickled out new units as if they were being tortured every time a new tablet was sold. There were excuses here (“We only have the Verizon (NYSE:
VZ
) model because the AT&T (NYSE:
T
) iPads are manufactured in another factory”) and lies there (“We just pulled these two iPads off the truck, and we don't know when more will arrive”). I have always been under the belief that Apple did all of this on purpose to increase demand. While there has yet to be any concrete proof to support this belief, there have been a few
strong indicators
Trying to ‘Kindle' Consumer Interest
While most of the tech world braces for the launch of the iPad 3, Amazon (NASDAQ:
AMZN
) is trying to figure out how it can stay competitive going forward. From a consumer standpoint, the original $200 Kindle Fire was a decent, lower-cost alternative to the $500 iPad. When the iPad 3 is released, however, Apple is expected to drop the iPad 2's price to $300. Some analysts predict that the iPad 2 could be sold for as low as $250. At that price, the Kindle Fire would lose its
primary advantage
in the tablet wars. If Apple releases a seven-inch tablet, how will the Kindle Fire 2 be able to compete? Will Amazon be forced to lower its price? Right now, we aren't sure if the company is
making
or
losing
Follow me @LouisBedigian
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