Markets don’t just reflect opinions – they price expectations. In this session, we move beyond binary thinking and explore how investors can translate their views on future outcomes into structured market expressions. Using prediction market frameworks, we walk through how to convert probabilities into prices, identify potential edge, and better understand what markets are telling us.
Participants will be introduced to Yes/No contracts and Plus (spread) contracts, learning how each expresses different levels of conviction, ranging from all-or-nothing outcomes to directionally correct views across a range. We’ll also connect these concepts to the broader S&P 500® Index ecosystem and discuss how liquidity and market structure support these products.
Who Is This Class Is For?
This class is designed for individuals looking to build a stronger foundation in how financial markets price expectations, particularly those with limited or developing market experience. It’s also a useful perspective for more experienced investors interested in thinking differently about risk, conviction, and translating views into actionable trades.
Reserve your spot now: