INDVR Brands (OTC:CAAOF) Stock, Quote.Headers.trade-ideas

INDVR Brands Inc is focused on providing personnel and management resources as well as infrastructure and equipment for use in the production, cultivation and dispensary operations of licensed cannabis businesses. It provides support services to licensed cannabis businesses.

News

Intraday Update

Markets

Movers

Trading Ideas

ABCE

ACST

AIPUY

ALEAFIA HEALTH INC ORD by Aleafia Health Inc.

ALEAF

ALTM

AMADF

AMCX

ANLDF

ANZFF

APTS

APVO

AQARF

ARCH

ASBRF

ASIX

ATRO

ATROB

ATUSF

AWCMY

AXION VENTURES INC by Axion Ventures Inc.

AXNVF

BBDO

BBSI

BCII

BFCH

BKUCF

BMMJ

BORR

BPAQF

BPMP

BRID

BRRAY

BUHPF

CANNABIS ONE HLDGS INC by Cannabis One Holdings Inc.

CAAOF

CANNABIS WHEATON INCOME by Cannabis Wheaton Income Corp.

CBWTF

CCDBF

CCLLF

CCLP

CDEV

CEQP

CHOOF

CHRRF

CJPRY

CJREF

CLDT

CLVLY

CNDT

CNXM

COKE

CRON

CWBHF

CWYUF

CYBL

DAKT

DCIX

DGEAF

DLNDY

DLTH

DNKLY

DRTT

EARS

EBIX

ECAOF

EMERALD HEALTH THERAPUTCS by Emerald Health Therapeutics Inc.

EMHTF

ENBL

ENLC

ENOB

FRONTERA ENERGY CORP ORD by Frontera Energy Corp

FECCF

FLNG

Stocks That Hit 52-Week Lows On Wednesday

Cannabis

Exclusives

CSE:CBIS

A Look At The Cannabis One–ONE Cannabis Merger: &#39;Truly A Combination Of Equals&#39;

Movers & Shakers

General

AEMD

AFOM

AKER

ALRM

APDN

AREX

ASPCF

AUSAF

AXLA

BCEI

BLGVF

BNKPF

BRTX

BRVVF

BUDZ

BVTK

CADMF

CCORF

CGIX

CIRX

CNAB

CNPOF

CRVYF

CRXPF

CRZO

CTRA

CVEO

CVSI

CYDVF

DSWL

DYNT

ENZN

ETRN

EUROPEAN ELECTRIC METALS by European Electric Metals Inc.

EVXXF

EWLL

EXPE

EXTN

EZPW

FUTURE FARM TECHNOLOGIES by Future Farm Technologies Inc.

FFRMF

FOSL

FPRX

GBHL

GGBXF

GGTTF

GHSI

GLDFF

GLOG

GLOP

GRJVF

GRNQ

GRTD

GTCH

GTLS

GYNAF

HEXO

HRTFF

IIVI

ILUS

IMHC

INAP

INLB

INQD

IONKF

IVITF

JAGX

JWCAF

KCLI

KGET

KLXE

KPOC

LBRT

AMERICAN LITHIUM CORP ORD by American Lithium Corp.

LIACF

LIQT

LKSD

LQSIF

Stocks That Hit 52-Week Lows On Tuesday

INDVR Brands Inc

Donald Trump‘s niece, psychologist Mary Trump, recently criticized her uncle for his unchanging leadership <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/08/40303946/kamala-harris-and-donald-trump-clash-over-federal-reserves-autonomy">style and temperament</a>.
What Happened: In a post on X, Mary Trump expressed her views on Donald Trump&#8217;s leadership style. She described him as an &#8220;unchanged, thin-skinned bully,&#8221; adding that this makes him dangerous. 
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"> 
<div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">Real leaders evolve. Donald remains an unchanged, thin-skinned bully—and that&#39;s what makes him dangerous. Thank you <a href="https://twitter.com/andersoncooper?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@andersoncooper</a> for discussing this issue and Who Could Ever Love You. <a href="https://t.co/muRPm7PSkP">pic.twitter.com/muRPm7PSkP</a>
&mdash; Mary L Trump (@MaryLTrump) <a href="https://twitter.com/MaryLTrump/status/1834341074707644803?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">September 12, 2024</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
</figure>
In the interview <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MLGrSrKFskc">with</a> CNN, Mary Trump commended Kamala Harris for what she described as a strategic emotional blow to her uncle during the opening moments of the presidential debate on Tuesday. Speaking with CNN&#8217;s Anderson Cooper, Mary Trump explained that Harris&#8217;s approach effectively unsettled the former president, leading him to unravel in front of viewers.
&#8220;He just couldn&#8217;t regain his composure, and frankly, I don't think he will,&#8221; she remarked.
Mary Trump went on to praise Harris for delivering clear, informative responses that gave the public a better understanding of her vision for the country, while also expertly targeting Trump&#8217;s weak points.
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/08/40429962/mary-trump-donalds-narcissistic-injury-is-so-great-that-he-has-essentially-stopped-campaigning">Mary Trump: &#8216;Donald&#8217;s Narcissistic Injury Is So Great That He Has Essentially Stopped Campaigning&#8217;</a>
During the interview, the CNN anchor read an excerpt from Mary Trump&#8217;s book Who Could Ever Love You, where she described her uncle&#8217;s childhood behavior as that of &#8220;a thin-skinned bully who tormented younger kids but would retreat in anger when confronted.&#8221;
"That is one of the most damning and dangerous things about Donald Trump and that is one of the things that makes him most unfit. He's never evolved from that. That's still who he is," Mary Trump said.
Why It Matters: Mary Trump, a clinical psychologist, has been vocal about her criticisms of her uncle&#8217;s leadership style. Her book, &#8220;Too Much and Never Enough: How My Family Created the World&#8217;s Most Dangerous Man,&#8221; delves into the Trump family dynamics and Donald Trump&#8217;s upbringing, which she believes shaped his leadership style.
Her latest tweet continues this narrative, suggesting that Donald Trump&#8217;s leadership style has not evolved and remains a cause for concern.
Read Next:
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/07/39761289/trumps-niece-accuses-him-of-lying-about-involvement-in-controversial-project-2025-my-uncle-likes-to" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Trump's Niece Accuses Him Of Lying About Involvement In Controversial Project 2025: ‘My Uncle Likes To Call America a ‘Stupid Country.' But We're Not Nearly As Stupid As He Hopes We Are …</a>
This content was partially produced with the help of&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/author/benzinga-neuro" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga Neuro</a>&nbsp;and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.

Politics

Mary Trump Says 'Donald Trump Remains Thin-Skinned Bully And That's What Makes Him Dangerous'

On Friday, the Nebraska Supreme Court decided that dueling initiatives to expand or restrict abortion rights <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/abortion" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">will be included on the November ballot</a>. This decision followed recent hearings in which three separate lawsuits aimed to prevent either or both of the abortion measures from appearing on the ballot, <a href="https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/ap-nebraska-ballot-can-include-competing-measures-to-expand-or-limit-abortion-rights-high-court-rules/">reported</a> The Hill.
Voters in the Cornhusker State will decide on a ballot measure proposing to enshrine the right to abortion up to fetal viability in the state constitution. Conversely, another measure aims to cement the state&#8217;s existing 12-week abortion ban into law.
Organizers for both proposals collected over 200,000 signatures each, surpassing the 123,000 valid signatures required to qualify for the ballot, the Hill added. For the first time since the U.S. Supreme Court&#8217;s 2022 reversal of Roe v. Wade, Nebraska will feature competing abortion amendments on the same ballot.
Also Read: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/09/40864360/pope-francis-criticizes-both-trump-and-kamala-harris-for-supporting-abortion-urges-catholics-to-vote" rel="noreferrer noopener">Pope Francis Criticizes Both Trump And Kamala Harris For Supporting Abortion, Urges Catholics To Vote For &#8216;Lesser Evil&#8217;</a>
Meanwhile, nine other states will also address abortion issues on their ballots this year, including Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Maryland, Missouri, Montana, Nevada, and South Dakota, where measures to protect access are also set to appear.
The latest development follows two initiatives, the&nbsp;Nebraska Medical Cannabis Patient Protection Initiative and the&nbsp;Nebraska Medical Cannabis Regulation Initiative, which have both surpassed the required 87,126 valid signatures to be considered for the November 2024 ballot.
The&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/nebraska" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Nebraska</a>&nbsp;Secretary of State&#8217;s office&nbsp;<a href="https://sos.nebraska.gov/sites/default/files/doc/news-releases/Secretary%20of%20State%20provides%20update%20on%20remaining%20petitions_0.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">confirmed</a>&nbsp;the&nbsp;89,000&nbsp;petitions have valid signatures&nbsp;and that officials are &#8220;nearing the end of the verification process by county election offices,&#8221; bringing them close to certification.
Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
Also Read:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cannabis/24/08/40665093/medical-marijuana-will-be-on-the-november-ballot-in-nebraska-officials-confirm" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Medical Marijuana Will Be On The November Ballot In Nebraska, Officials Confirm</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Wikimedia Commons

Media

Nebraska Supreme Court Greenlights Competing Abortion Measures For November Ballot

In a volatile cannabis market driven by regulatory uncertainty and the upcoming U.S. elections, New Lake Capital Partners (OTC:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NLCP#OTC">NLCP</a>) stands out as a stable option for investors seeking consistent returns.&nbsp;
With its cannabis-focused real estate portfolio, NLCP offers strong dividend yields and steady rental income growth, making it an attractive choice amid market turbulence. 
According to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/pablo-zuanic#google_vignette">Pablo Zuanic </a>of Zuanic &amp; Associates, NLCP's financial performance and dividend yield make it a potentially attractive option for investors navigating the volatile cannabis sector.
Get Benzinga&#8217;s exclusive analysis and the top news about the cannabis industry and markets daily in your inbox for free. Subscribe to our newsletter&nbsp;<a href="https://newsletteremail.benzinga.com/subscribe" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">here</a>. If you&#8217;re serious about the business, you can&#8217;t afford to miss out.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Rental Income Growth And AFFO Strength</h3>
NLCP&#8217;s rental income for the first half of 2024 increased by 10% year-over-year, reaching $12.2 million, noted Zuanic. The company's net real estate portfolio (NREP) grew by 2.4% since the end of 2023, bringing its total portfolio yield to an annualized 12.7%. 
This is slightly behind its peer, Innovative Industrial Properties (IIPR), which posted a 14.6% yield on its portfolio after a 5% growth since year-end 2022. Despite the slower growth, NLCP's Adjusted Funds from Operations (AFFO) rose by 17% year-over-year in Q2 2024, compared to a modest 1% increase for Innovative Industrial Properties, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IIPR#NYSE">IIPR</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Dividend Security And Yield Comparison</h3>
NLCP's quarterly dividend of $0.43 per share provides an 8.7% yield, significantly higher than IIPR's 5.9% yield and 500 basis points above the U.S. 10-year Treasury rate.&nbsp;
Zuanic's projections estimate an AFFO per share of $2.10 for 2024, translating to a price-to-AFFO ratio of 9.4x, compared to 14.1x for IIPR, indicating a potential value for NLCP investors.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/08/40607517/delivering-returns-as-the-cannabis-market-tanks-what-wall-st-wont-tell-you-about-ch">Delivering Returns As The Cannabis Market Tanks: What Wall St Won&#8217;t Tell You About Chicago Atlantic Real Estate&#8217;s Growth</a>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Portfolio Risks</h3>
Although NLCP's portfolio is fully rented, certain risks remain. Zuanic reports that Revolutionary Clinics, a tenant accounting for 10% of NLCP's rental income, missed 50% of its June and July 2024 rent payments. The company is negotiating with the tenant to resolve the issue, possibly through rent deferrals or other concessions. Additionally, five operators account for 62% of NLCP's rental income, with Curaleaf (OTC:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CURLF#OTC">CURLF</a>) representing 22%. 
By comparison, IIPR's top five tenants contribute 48% of its rental revenue, highlighting potential concentration risks in both companies.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Debt Leverage Among REITS</h3>
Within the cannabis real estate investment trust (REIT) sector, mortgage REITs like Chicago Atlantic (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/REFI#NASDAQ">REFI</a>) and AFCG (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AFCG#NASDAQ">AFCG</a>) have experienced different growth rates. REFI&#8217;s loan book grew by 22% year-over-year in Q2 2024, while AFCG saw some notable exits during the quarter, resulting in a smaller loan book. 
Despite these differences, NLCP maintains a conservative debt strategy, with only $7.6 million drawn from its $90 million credit facility, representing 1.9% of equity. In contrast, IIPR carries $297 million in debt, or 15% of its equity, but boasts a 17x debt service coverage ratio, signaling a strong ability to meet its obligations.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Valuation And Outlook</h3>
While NLCP currently trades near its book value of $19.54 at $19.76 per share, IIPR trades at 1.82 times its book value, reflecting a premium tied to its perceived growth potential.&nbsp;
Although NLCP lacks a listing on a major U.S. exchange, Zuanic's report suggests the company could achieve a premium valuation if the cannabis industry's growth continues, particularly given its solid dividend yield and strong AFFO performance.
Read Next: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/09/40834708/new-laws-could-unleash-1-7b-demand-for-cannabis-loans-this-real-estate-stock-is-set">New Laws Could Unleash $1.7B Demand For Cannabis Loans, This Real Estate Stock Is Set To Capitalize</a>

Analyst Color

REIT

Small Cap Analysis

Small Cap

Analyst Ratings

Real Estate

 IIPR

AFCG

CURALEAF HLDGS INC by Curaleaf Hldgs Inc.

CURLF

IIPR

NLCP

REFI

$12M In Rental Income: Why Investors Should Watch This Stock That's Crushing Averages

According to a report, leading tech companies are shelling out millions each year to safeguard their CEOs, with some companies <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/08/40667286/trump-warns-zuckerberg-in-latest-book-says-he-could-be-in-prison-for-the-rest-of-his-life-we-are-wat">paying more than others</a>.
What Happened: Security costs for top executives can be among the most expensive perks, including home monitoring, personal bodyguards, and security consulting, according to a report <a href="https://fortune.com/2024/09/14/tech-billionaire-ceos-security-costs-meta-tesla-apple-nvidia-google/">by</a> Fortune.
Bill Herzog, CEO of LionHeart Security Services, stressed the necessity of investing in the protection of high-profile CEOs, considering the potential risks they face.
LionHeart Security Services charges $60 per hour or more for security services, which could result in an annual bill of over $1 million for two guards.
"When you're talking about somebody who's worth millions of dollars or billions of dollars, and they are in charge of an entire company, there is a real possibility of kidnapping, there's a real possibility of extortion, there's a real possibility of attempts on their lives," Herzog told the outlet.&nbsp;
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/07/39999229/dont-look-now-but-zuckerbergs-threads-is-picking-up-steam">Don&#8217;t Look Now, But Zuckerberg&#8217;s Threads Is Picking Up Steam</a>
Meta leads the pack, having spent $23.4 million in 2023 on personal security for CEO Mark Zuckerberg. This includes $9.4 million in direct security costs and a $14 million pre-tax allowance for additional security-related expenses.
Alphabet Inc. spent $6.8 million on personal security for CEO Sundar Pichai in 2023, while Tesla Inc. paid $2.4 million for Elon Musk&#8216;s security services.
Other tech giants, such as Nvidia Corporation and Apple Inc., also invest significantly in their CEOs&#8217; security, spending $2.2 million and $820,309 respectively in 2023.
Why It Matters: The security of top executives has become a significant expense for tech companies. The rising costs reflect the increasing threats faced by these high-profile individuals. 
The significant investment in security measures is a testament to the importance these companies place on the safety of their leaders. It also underscores the potential risks associated with leading a major tech company in today&#8217;s world. 
The substantial costs incurred for security services highlight the lengths to which companies are willing to go to ensure the safety and well-being of their top executives.
Read Next
&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/23/03/31129297/zuckerbergs-life-changing-advice-to-young-people" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Zuckerberg's Life-Changing Advice To Young People</a>
This content was partially produced with the help of&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/author/benzinga-neuro" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga Neuro</a>&nbsp;and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.

Tech

AAPL

GOOGL

NVDA

TSLA

Big Tech's Security Spending Spree: Zuckerberg Leads In Lavish Security Measures

Green Goddess Revival, a medical marijuana dispensary in Denton Texas, was the target of a law enforcement raid on Thursday in which $10,000 in products were seized, business owners said. A warrant to search stated it was targeting noncompliant THC products. Denton is among several Texas towns that <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cannabis/24/08/40421781/dallas-voters-to-vote-on-marijuana-decriminalization-this-november">will vote this November</a> to approve adult-use cannabis.
Photos posted on social media depicted Denton County Sheriff&#8217;s Office personnel, one of whom was wearing a U.S. Marshals Service Joint East Texas Fugitive Task Force vest.
"It is absurd to see US Marshalls Fugitive Task Force raiding a hemp shop in Denton, Texas in 2024," wrote the Texas Cannabis Collective on X.
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"> 
<div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">It is absurd to see US Marshalls Fugitive Task Force raiding a hemp shop in Denton, Texas in 2024 <a href="https://t.co/XPMrZ6mvhR">pic.twitter.com/XPMrZ6mvhR</a>
&mdash; Texas Cannabis Collective (@txcannaco) <a href="https://twitter.com/txcannaco/status/1834818337274028191?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">September 14, 2024</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
</figure>
"People literally come in everyday almost in years because we provide them with medicine that gives them their life back. We&#8217;re a local shop that gives product to people for almost nothing if needed and has supported the community for years," continued the Cannabis Collective. Texas approved a limited medical marijuana program in 2015. 
Read Also:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cannabis/24/05/39041635/73-of-texans-support-full-cannabis-legalization-or-decriminalization-including-plurality-of-repu" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">73% Of Texans Support Full Cannabis Legalization Or Decriminalization, Including Plurality Of Republicans, Poll Finds</a>
What Happened: Store manager Jack Howell <a href="https://dentonrc.com/news/denton/officers-seize-10-000-in-products-from-denton-dispensary-store-says/article_d65936b4-71fa-11ef-8c02-4b1cbcabad6f.html">told</a> the Denton Record-Chronicle Friday that the officers told him they'd received a complaint about someone smoking weed outside the shop. Howell questioned the legitimacy of the officers' statement, saying that a now-former employee was smoking a joint outside the shop when plainclothes officers approached her and asked to search the shop. She said no and was arrested on an unrelated outstanding warrant. 
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">License And Paperwork All In Order</h2>
Howell said the Green Goddess Revival's paperwork was in order to prove that products contained less than 0.3% of THC, which is permissible in Texas and meets the standards for medical marijuana. 
An officer of the Eastern District of Texas denied that an officer in the photo was a member of the federal task force but was not operating in that capacity when they raided the legal medical marijuana shop.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Then There&#8217;s Texas AG Ken Paxton</h2>
Meanwhile, Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton launched <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cannabis/24/01/36880984/gop-attor-ney-gen-er-al-in-texas-sues-five-cities-to-stop-voter-approved-mar-i-jua-na-reform-say" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">lawsuits over voter-approved</a> marijuana decriminalization initiatives underway in five Texas towns, some of which <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cannabis/24/07/39946113/gop-attor-ney-gen-er-al-in-texas-loses-legal-battle-against-towns-with-decriminalized-cannabis-i">have been thrown out</a> by judges. Denton, population 150,000, is among those towns. Paxton argues that these local initiatives violate state law are unconstitutional and that the five mostly small cities are being run by &#8220;criminal extremists.&#8221; 
Now Read:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cannabis/24/09/40860858/cannabis-use-is-up-among-older-adults-for-wellbeing-health-purposes-poll">Cannabis Use Is Up Among Older Adults For Wellbeing, Health Purposes: Poll</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Texas Cannabis Collective

Government

Federal Marshals Raid Legal Medical Marijuana Shop In Texas: Why The Big Guns? Advocates Say 'It's Absurd'

Despite <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/09/40808499/trump-vs-harris-debates-results-are-in-flash-poll-shows-resounding-majority-pick-vice-president-as-w">nationwide polls pointing to a slight edge</a> for Kamala Harris in the presidential race, prominent polling data analyst Nate Silver said this week that it is still Donald Trump&#8216;s election to lose.
New-Less Cycle Favors Trump: Google Search interest in Trump has gone down by two to three times relative to past elections, and as a consequence, the numbers for Democrats have gone up, <a href="https://www.natesilver.net/p/this-was-trumps-election-to-lose">said</a> Silver in his latest Substack post. That said, the fact that Harris&#8217; Democratic National Convention bounce quickly evaporated may have been due to the gravity of the election favoring Trump, he said.
&#8220;In news-less periods, he tends to become the favorite,&#8221; said Silver, who founded FiveThirtyEight but is now no longer associated with the polling analytics website.
This, according to the pollster, has implication for Harris&#8217; strategy. If Trump tends to pull ahead when people aren't actively thinking about politics, she might want to more proactively drive the news cycle, he said. Trump was part of the past two elections, and both elections were closely fought, coming down to a few tens of thousands of votes in the electoral college, he noted.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/09/40864586/kamala-harris-vows-to-scrap-unnecessary-degree-requirements-for-some-federal-jobs-if-she-wins-as-pre">Kamala Harris Vows To Scrap &#8216;Unnecessary&#8217; Degree Requirements For Some Federal Jobs If She Wins: &#8216;As President, I Will…&#8217;</a>
Why Trump&#8217;s Still Favorite: &#8220;Underlying circumstances of the race are favorable for Trump than in 2016 or 2020,&#8221; said Silver, adding that he would be a &#8220;clear favorite&#8221; if he were running a perfect campaign. The ex-president, however, wasn&#8217;t, he said. Once the post-debate polls are fully accounted for, the tally will get back to roughly 50-50, he added. 
In a previous post, Silver <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/09/40852078/trump-vs-harris-latest-poll-hands-vice-president-5-point-lead-but-heres-why-vetran-pollster-nate-sil#google_vignette">cautioned against reading too much into the data received so far,</a> given it would take several days to conduct a traditional poll.
The polling veteran based his expectations for an even contest on a few factors, namely:
<ul>
<li>Electoral College: Trump is currently 2.5 points ahead of Harris in terms of electoral college votes, according to Silver&#8217;s forecast model. On a map that gives rural white voters more influence, Trump&#8217;s populist coalition outperforms and on that same count, Harris and other Democrats are running uphill, Silver said.</li>
<li>Economy: Silver made note of his proprietary Silver Bulletin economic index, which showed that the real disposable personal &#8211; the income left after paying taxes, has been flat during President Joe Biden&#8217;s tenure. This metric has been historically one of the best predictors of election outcomes, he said. There is more producer surplus&nbsp;than ever, while consumers are squeezed and prices are about 20% higher than when Biden assumed office, he noted. </li>
<li>Anti-incumbent mood: Globally, incumbent parties suffered setbacks in elections held in 2024, with Tories suffering one of their worst defeats in the U.K. and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi ceding a significant number of seats, he noted. That said, Harris&#8217; campaign has been trying to frame Trump as the incumbent despite her party running the White House for three-and-a-half years, he said.</li>
<li>Harris&#8217; Far Left Track Record: The two pushbacks Harris faced when she entered the fray as a replacement for Biden on the Democratic ticket was the perception that she is not a natural politician and that she has &#8220;veered far to the left of the median voter, especially in her 2019 campaign.&#8221; &#8220;While she's overcome doubts about the former concern, the latter&nbsp;could still be an issue,&#8221; Silver said.</li>
<li>Failed Attempt on Trump&#8217;s Life: Following the shooting at a campaign rally in Pennsylvania, Trump&#8217;s favorability ratings improved to the highest they have been in years, Silver said. However, the polling veteran said Trump squandered the opportunity with a &#8220;meandering convention speech a few days later.&#8221; This is &#8220;one of a&nbsp;number of major mistakes he and his campaign have made, from their&nbsp;selection of Sen. JD Vance (R-Ohio)&nbsp;to their lack of prep work for this week's debate,&#8221; he added.</li>
</ul>
&#8220;Trump is still in reasonably good shape for all the reasons I mentioned above, and I don't think the Harris campaign is entirely bluffing when it&nbsp;calls itself the underdog,&#8221; said Silver.
&#8220;But if the coin comes up tails and Trump loses, he'll have let the election slip out of his grasp.&#8221;
Did You Know?
<ul>
<li>Congress Is Making Huge Investments.&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/gov-trades" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Get Tips On What They Bought And Sold Ahead Of The 2024 Election With Our Easy-to-Use Tool</a></li>
</ul>
<a href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb417703c-4405-4b25-af44-6f84a783ed52_1600x988.png" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"></a>

Nate Silver: If Trump Loses, He Will Have Let Election 'Slip Out Of His Grasp' As Underlying Factors Favor Him Despite Harris' Poll Lead

Get Our Top Trade Ideas Delivered Daily - 65% Off Now

Get Our Top Trade Ideas Delivered Daily - 65% Off Now

Comments

INDVR Brands

INDVR Brands (CAAOF) Forecast

INDVR Brands (OTC:CAAOF) Stock, Quote.Headers.trade-ideas