Market Overview

Stocks Try for Another Bounce as China Shows Pre-Holiday Calm

Stocks Try for Another Bounce as China Shows Pre-Holiday Calm
Related SPY
Vice Index: Where The US Economy Stands Going Into 2018
Central Bank Vigil: FX Steady And Going Nowhere via OANDA
An Income Approach To Portfolio Management (Seeking Alpha)

Calm temporarily returned to Chinese markets, helped by a looming two-day market close for a holiday there and a report in the Chinese press of pledge by a group of Chinese brokerages to buy shares.

That was good enough to lift U.S. sentiment in Wednesday's early trading after Tuesday marked another day for bruising action. A solid—if far from exciting—private-sector jobs report helped stocks maintain early gains. Crude futures are lower, which could drag on energy shares.

Tuesday marked the third-biggest daily drop of the year for the S&P 500 (SPX), in figure 1, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DJI), while for the NASDAQ Composite (COMP), it was the third worst based on percentage decline. 


FIGURE 1: CHART CHURN? The S&P 500 (SPX) neared a test of the closely watched 1900 line in Tuesday's volatile session, breaking support at 1922. Data source: Standard & Poor's. Chart source: TD Ameritrade's thinkorswim® platform. For illustrative purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Private-Sector Hiring

Hiring by U.S. private firms picked up in August with 190,000 net new jobs, payroll firm Automatic Data Processing said. The job growth was an improvement over July's 177,000, which was revised down from the initial report of 185,000.

But the August figure was below analyst expectations of about 210,000 net new private-sector jobs. It's likely to invite fresh caution heading into Friday's broader August snapshot tabulated by the Labor Department. Currently, Wall Street looks for about 220,000 new jobs in the Friday report.

Oil's Slippery Slope

Crude futures are down some 2% early Wednesday, presumably reacting to a higher-than-expected build in U.S. inventories. Weaker U.S. and Chinese manufacturing data also fueled a rout in prices that started in the previous session.

London-traded Brent and U.S.-based WTI crude fell some 8% Tuesday to end a 25% three-session climb; that's the largest three-day gain since 1990.

Sign of the Cross?

The Russell 2000 (RUT), populated with small-cap stocks, has joined the major stock indexes in forming a chart "death cross" that some technicians track. Chart watchers believe a death cross—when the 50-day moving average (MA) crosses below the 200-day MA—indicates that a shorter-term decline has developed into a longer-term downtrend.

RUT's 50-day moving average fell to 1,222.95 in midday trade Tuesday, crossing below the 200-day moving average (MA), which slipped to 1,224.11, according to market data firm FactSet. RUT's last death cross appeared on Sept. 22, 2014. The index fell another 7% in the three weeks after that before bottoming at a one-year low, according to FactSet data.

Good trading,



This piece was originally posted here by JJ Kinahan on September 2, 2015.

TD Ameritrade, Inc., member FINRA/SIPC. Commentary provided for educational purposes only. Past performance of a security, strategy, or index is no guarantee of future results or investment success. Inclusion of specific security names in this commentary does not constitute a recommendation from TD Ameritrade to buy, sell, or hold.

Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options before investing. Supporting documentation for any claims, comparison, statistics, or other technical data will be supplied upon request.

The information is not intended to be investment advice and is for illustrative purposes only. Be sure to understand all risks involved with each strategy, including commission costs, before attempting to place any trade. Clients must consider all relevant risk factors, including their own personal financial situations, before trading.

Posted-In: China JJ Kinahan The Ticker TapeOpinion Economics Markets Best of Benzinga


Related Articles (SPY + DJI)

View Comments and Join the Discussion!

Partner Center