NBA Best Bets: Kings vs. Grizzlies Picks for March 18

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The Memphis Grizzlies (23-45) are 9.5-point underdogs against the Sacramento Kings (38-28) at Golden 1 Center on Monday, March 18, 2024. The game tips at 10:00 PM ET on NBCS-CA and BSSE.

Before placing a wager on this matchup, have a look at the best bets available on Monday according to our computer predictions.

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Kings vs. Grizzlies Game Info

  • When: Monday, March 18, 2024 at 10:00 PM ET
  • Where: Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California
  • TV: NBCS-CA and BSSE
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo

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Kings vs. Grizzlies Best Bets

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Domantas Sabonis Over 18.5 PTS

  • Domantas Sabonis has racked up 20.1 points per game in the 2023-24 season, 1.6 points more than Monday's over/under.
  • In 62 games this season with a points prop total, Sabonis has hit the over 32 times.
  • The Kings are the NBA's eighth-ranked scoring team (118.0 points per game), while the Grizzlies are ninth defensively in terms of points conceded per game (112.3).
  • When Sacramento scores more than 112.3 points, its record is 35-11.

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Jaren Jackson Jr. Over 22.5 PTS

  • The 22.4 points Jaren Jackson Jr. scores per game are 0.1 less than his over/under on Monday.
  • Jackson is 26-for-57 at scoring more than his points prop this season.
  • The lowest-scoring NBA team (105.8 points per game) is Memphis, while Sacramento ranks 20th in the league defensively (117.1 conceded per game).
  • Memphis is 6-2 when scoring more points than 117.1.

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Pick ATS: Kings (- 9.5)

  • Against the spread, Sacramento is 33-33-0 this season.
  • Memphis has beaten the spread 33 times in 68 games.
  • The Kings have won once ATS (1-7) as a 9.5-point favorite or more this year.
  • Against the spread as 9.5-point underdogs or greater, the Grizzlies are 12-7.

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Pick OU: Over (223.5)

  • The Kings' 66 games this season have gone over this contest's total of 223.5 points 46 times.
  • The Grizzlies have played 23 games this season that finished with a combined score over 223.5 points.
  • The average point total in Sacramento's contests this year is 235.1, 11.6 more than this matchup's over/under.
  • The average over/under for Memphis' outings this season is 218.1, 5.4 fewer points than this game's total.
  • The Kings score the 13th-most points in the league this season, while the Grizzlies' offense racks up the 30th-most.
  • The Kings are the NBA's 15th-ranked scoring defense while the Grizzlies are the 13th-ranked.

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Moneyline Pick: Kings (-500)

  • The Kings have won 27, or 61.4%, of the 44 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • The Grizzlies have been victorious in 17, or 32.7%, of the 52 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Sacramento has a record of 5-2 when it's favored by -500 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • This year, Memphis has won two of 11 games when listed as at least +375 or better on the moneyline.
  • The Kings have a 83.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

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