NBA Best Bets: Heat vs. Pistons Picks for March 17

The Miami Heat (36-30) hit the court against the Detroit Pistons (13-53) as 6.5-point favorites on Sunday, March 17, 2024 at 3:00 PM ET on BSDET and BSSUN.

Prior to placing a wager on this game, take a peek at the best bets available on Sunday based on our computer predictions.

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Heat vs. Pistons Game Info

• When: Sunday, March 17, 2024 at 3:00 PM ET
• Where: Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, Michigan
• TV: BSDET and BSSUN
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo

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Heat vs. Pistons Best Bets

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Jimmy Butler Over 21.5 PTS

• Jimmy Butler's 21.4-point scoring average is 0.1 less than Sunday's over/under.
• This season, Butler has scored beyond the points prop number in 17 of 50 games with a set total.
• The Heat are the NBA's 27th-ranked scoring squad (110.1 points per game), while the Pistons are 26th in points conceded (120.3 per game).
• Miami is 9-2 when putting up more points than 120.3.

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Cade Cunningham Over 21.5 PTS

• Sunday's over/under for Cade Cunningham is 21.5 points, 0.6 fewer than his season average.
• Cunningham has had a points prop in 54 games this season, and has hit the over 24 times.
• The 21st-ranked scoring NBA team (112.2 points per game) is Detroit, while Miami ranks fourth in the league defensively (109.6 conceded per game).
• Detroit has put together a 12-29 record when it scores more than 109.6 points.

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Pick ATS: Heat (- 6.5)

• Miami is 32-34-0 against the spread this year.
• Detroit is 32-33-0 against the spread this season.
• The Heat are 6-9 as 6.5-point favorites or more.
• The Pistons' ATS record as 6.5-point underdogs or greater is 23-24.

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Pick OU: Over (214.5)

• The Heat and their opponents have gone over 214.5 combined points in 42 of 66 games this season.
• The Pistons have combined with their opponent to score more than 214.5 points in 52 of 65 games this season.
• Miami has an average point total of 219.7 in its matchups this year, 5.2 more points than this game's over/under.
• Detroit's games this year have had a 232.4-point total on average, 17.9 more points than this matchup's over/under.
• The Heat are the 27th-highest scoring team in the NBA this year. The Pistons have scored the 26th-most points.
• The Pistons have surrendered the 24th-fewest points in the league this season, while the Heat have given up the third-fewest.

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Moneyline Pick: Heat (-275)

• The Heat have won 26, or 72.2%, of the 36 games they've played as favorites this season.
• The Pistons have been chosen as underdogs in 58 games this year and have walked away with the win nine times (15.5%) in those games.
• This season, Miami has won 10 of its 14 games, or 71.4%, when favored by at least -275 on the moneyline.
• This season, Detroit has come away with a win three times in 44 chances when named as an underdog of at least +220 or worse on the moneyline.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 73.3% chance of a victory for the Heat.

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