Sunday's game between the Illinois State Redbirds (15-15, 9-10 MVC) and Valparaiso Beacons (6-24, 2-17 MVC) going head-to-head at Athletics-Recreation Center has a projected final score of 72-67 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of Illinois State, who is listed as a slight favorite by our model. The game will start at 2:00 PM ET on March 3. According to our computer prediction, Valparaiso projects to cover the 5.5-point spread in its matchup against Illinois State. The total is currently listed at 137.5, and the two sides are projected to exceed it.
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Illinois State vs. Valparaiso Odds
Favorite | Spread | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Illinois State | -5.5 | 137.5 | -115 | -105 | -215 | +176 |
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Illinois State vs. Valparaiso Prediction
- Prediction: Illinois State 72, Valparaiso 67
Illinois State Betting Info
- The Redbirds are 10-9-0 against the spread in conference action this season.
- There have been eight Redbirds conference games (out of 19) that went over the total this season.
- This season, the Redbirds have won eight out of the 13 games, or 61.5%, in which they've been moneyline favorites.
- Illinois State has a record of 2-2 when it's favored by -215 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- In 12 of 29 games this season, the Redbirds and their opponents have combined to score more than 137.5 points.
- The average point total in Illinois State's games this season is 134.5, 3.0 points fewer than this matchup's over/under.
Illinois State's Top Players
Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Darius Burford | 21 | 13.2 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.7 |
Myles Foster | 30 | 12.1 | 8.2 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0 |
Johnny Kinziger | 30 | 8.6 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.2 |
Dalton Banks | 30 | 8.6 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 1 | 0.2 | 1 |
Kendall Lewis | 29 | 8.4 | 6.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
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Valparaiso Betting Info
- The Beacons have beaten the spread 11 times in 18 MVC games.
- Out of 18 Beacons MVC games so far this year, 12 have gone over the total.
- The Beacons have won in two, or 9.5%, of the 21 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
- This season, Valparaiso has come away with a win one time in 18 chances when named as an underdog of at least +176 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Beacons have played 19 games this season that ended with a combined score over 137.5 points.
- Valparaiso's contests this season have a 142.8-point average over/under, 5.3 more points than this game's point total.
Valparaiso's Top Players
Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Isaiah Stafford | 27 | 16.6 | 3.6 | 2 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 1.9 |
Cooper Schwieger | 29 | 12.7 | 5.3 | 1 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
Darius DeAveiro | 30 | 8.2 | 3.1 | 5.5 | 1.2 | 0 | 1 |
Jahari Williamson | 28 | 8.1 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0 | 1.4 |
Jaxon Edwards | 30 | 7.5 | 5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
Illinois State vs. Valparaiso Scoring Insights
- The 66.8 points the Redbirds average are 8.5 fewer than the Beacons allow.
- Illinois State is 6-0 against the spread and 6-0 overall when scoring more than 75.3.
- Valparaiso is 4-3 against the spread and has a 5-3 record overall when allowing less than 66.8 points.
- The Beacons' 67.6 points per game are only 0.1 fewer than the Redbirds allow.
- When scoring over 67.7 points, Valparaiso is 11-2 versus the spread and 4-10 overall.
- Illinois State's record is 10-6 versus the spread and 11-6 overall when conceding less than 67.6 points.
- The Redbirds have a -28-point scoring differential on the season (-0.9 per game). The Beacons also have been outscored, by 231 points (7.7 per game).
Illinois State vs. Valparaiso Rankings
Illinois State Rank | Illinois State AVG | Valparaiso AVG | Valparaiso Rank | |
---|---|---|---|---|
326th | 66.8 | Points Scored | 67.6 | 320th |
68th | 67.7 | Points Allowed | 75.3 | 279th |
184th | 35.2 | Rebounds | 32.8 | 316th |
166th | 8.8 | Off. Rebounds | 8.3 | 219th |
308th | 6 | 3pt Made | 7.3 | 202nd |
262nd | 12.2 | Assists | 12 | 278th |
149th | 11 | Turnovers | 10.7 | 119th |
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