Illinois State vs. Valparaiso Picks, Odds and Prediction – March 3

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Sunday's game between the Illinois State Redbirds (15-15, 9-10 MVC) and Valparaiso Beacons (6-24, 2-17 MVC) going head-to-head at Athletics-Recreation Center has a projected final score of 72-67 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of Illinois State, who is listed as a slight favorite by our model. The game will start at 2:00 PM ET on March 3. According to our computer prediction, Valparaiso projects to cover the 5.5-point spread in its matchup against Illinois State. The total is currently listed at 137.5, and the two sides are projected to exceed it.

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Illinois State vs. Valparaiso Odds

Illinois State vs Valparaiso Betting Information
Favorite Spread Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Illinois State -5.5 137.5 -115 -105 -215 +176

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Illinois State vs. Valparaiso Prediction

  • Prediction: Illinois State 72, Valparaiso 67

Illinois State Betting Info

  • The Redbirds are 10-9-0 against the spread in conference action this season.
  • There have been eight Redbirds conference games (out of 19) that went over the total this season.
  • This season, the Redbirds have won eight out of the 13 games, or 61.5%, in which they've been moneyline favorites.
  • Illinois State has a record of 2-2 when it's favored by -215 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • In 12 of 29 games this season, the Redbirds and their opponents have combined to score more than 137.5 points.
  • The average point total in Illinois State's games this season is 134.5, 3.0 points fewer than this matchup's over/under.

Illinois State's Top Players

Redbirds Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Darius Burford 21 13.2 2.5 1.5 1 0.1 0.7
Myles Foster 30 12.1 8.2 1.6 0.7 0.7 0
Johnny Kinziger 30 8.6 2.3 1.8 0.8 0.2 1.2
Dalton Banks 30 8.6 3.3 3.7 1 0.2 1
Kendall Lewis 29 8.4 6.5 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.3

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Valparaiso Betting Info

  • The Beacons have beaten the spread 11 times in 18 MVC games.
  • Out of 18 Beacons MVC games so far this year, 12 have gone over the total.
  • The Beacons have won in two, or 9.5%, of the 21 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This season, Valparaiso has come away with a win one time in 18 chances when named as an underdog of at least +176 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Beacons have played 19 games this season that ended with a combined score over 137.5 points.
  • Valparaiso's contests this season have a 142.8-point average over/under, 5.3 more points than this game's point total.

Valparaiso's Top Players

Beacons Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Isaiah Stafford 27 16.6 3.6 2 1.5 0.3 1.9
Cooper Schwieger 29 12.7 5.3 1 0.4 0.9 1.1
Darius DeAveiro 30 8.2 3.1 5.5 1.2 0 1
Jahari Williamson 28 8.1 1.9 0.9 0.5 0 1.4
Jaxon Edwards 30 7.5 5 0.7 0.5 1.3 0.7

Illinois State vs. Valparaiso Scoring Insights

  • The 66.8 points the Redbirds average are 8.5 fewer than the Beacons allow.
  • Illinois State is 6-0 against the spread and 6-0 overall when scoring more than 75.3.
  • Valparaiso is 4-3 against the spread and has a 5-3 record overall when allowing less than 66.8 points.
  • The Beacons' 67.6 points per game are only 0.1 fewer than the Redbirds allow.
  • When scoring over 67.7 points, Valparaiso is 11-2 versus the spread and 4-10 overall.
  • Illinois State's record is 10-6 versus the spread and 11-6 overall when conceding less than 67.6 points.
  • The Redbirds have a -28-point scoring differential on the season (-0.9 per game). The Beacons also have been outscored, by 231 points (7.7 per game).

Illinois State vs. Valparaiso Rankings

Illinois State Rank Illinois State AVG Valparaiso AVG Valparaiso Rank
326th 66.8 Points Scored 67.6 320th
68th 67.7 Points Allowed 75.3 279th
184th 35.2 Rebounds 32.8 316th
166th 8.8 Off. Rebounds 8.3 219th
308th 6 3pt Made 7.3 202nd
262nd 12.2 Assists 12 278th
149th 11 Turnovers 10.7 119th

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