Purdue vs. Michigan State Picks, Odds and Prediction – March 2

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Saturday's game at Mackey Arena has the No. 2 Purdue Boilermakers (25-3, 14-3 Big Ten) squaring off against the Michigan State Spartans (17-11, 9-8 Big Ten) at 8:00 PM ET on March 2. Our computer prediction projects a 78-69 win for Purdue, who are favored by our model. Based on our computer prediction, Michigan State is projected to cover the point spread (9.5) versus Purdue. The two teams are projected to go over the 145.5 total.

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Purdue vs. Michigan State Odds

Purdue vs Michigan State Betting Information
Favorite Spread Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Purdue -9.5 145.5 -115 -105 -530 +390

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Purdue vs. Michigan State Prediction

  • Prediction: Purdue 78, Michigan State 69

Purdue Betting Info

  • Against the spread, in conference play, the Boilermakers are 8-9-0 this season.
  • Out of 17 Boilermakers conference games so far this season, 11 have gone over the total.
  • This season, the Boilermakers have won 20 out of the 23 games, or 87%, in which they've been moneyline favorites.
  • Purdue has been at least a -530 moneyline favorite 12 times this season and won all of those games.
  • In 18 of 28 games this season, the Boilermakers and their opponents have scored more than 145.5 points.
  • Purdue has an average point total of 154.9 in its matchups this year, 9.4 more points than this game's over/under.

Purdue's Top Players

Boilermakers Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Zach Edey 28 23.7 11.8 1.8 0.3 2.2 0
Lance Jones 28 13 2.8 2.3 1.3 0.2 2.3
Braden Smith 28 12.7 5.8 7.3 1.8 0.1 1.3
Fletcher Loyer 28 10.1 2 1.7 0.8 0 1.6
Mason Gillis 28 6.9 3.9 1.5 0.3 0 1.5

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Michigan State Betting Info

  • The Spartans are 8-9-0 against the spread in Big Ten action this year.
  • Out of 17 Spartans Big Ten games so far this season, seven have hit the over.
  • The Spartans have won in one of the five contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Michigan State has been listed as an underdog of +390 or more on two occasions this season and won both games.
  • Spartans games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 145.5 points in 11 of 28 outings.
  • Michigan State has had an average of 140.4 points scored in its games so far this season, 5.1 points fewer than this game's over/under.

Michigan State's Top Players

Spartans Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Tyson Walker 27 18.1 2.7 2.9 1.9 0.1 1.9
Malik Hall 28 12.9 5.4 2.1 0.5 0.2 0.6
A.J Hoggard 28 11.2 3.1 5 1.4 0.3 0.7
Jaden 28 10.8 3.7 1.4 1.1 0.4 2
Tre Holloman 28 5.4 1.5 2.7 0.6 0.3 0.9

Purdue vs. Michigan State Scoring Insights

  • The 84.8 points the Boilermakers average are 18.8 more than the Spartans concede.
  • When Purdue scores more than 66, it is 16-12 versus the spread and 25-3 overall.
  • Michigan State is 15-12 against the spread and 17-10 overall when conceding fewer than 84.8 points.
  • The Spartans score just 4.3 more points per game (74.4) than the Boilermakers allow (70.1).
  • When scoring more than 70.1 points, Michigan State is 13-5 against the spread and 15-3 overall.
  • Purdue has an ATS mark of 14-4 (and is 17-1 overall) when giving up less than 74.4 points.
  • The Boilermakers have posted 413 more points than their opponents this year (14.7 per game), and the Spartans have also outscored their opponents, by 235 (8.4 per game).

Purdue vs. Michigan State Rankings

Purdue Rank Purdue AVG Michigan State AVG Michigan State Rank
8th 84.8 Points Scored 74.4 155th
122nd 70.1 Points Allowed 66 34th
10th 40.9 Rebounds 34.4 247th
17th 11.5 Off. Rebounds 8.3 220th
77th 8.5 3pt Made 6.5 268th
5th 18.4 Assists 16.7 23rd
146th 11 Turnovers 9.3 22nd

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