Saturday's game that pits the No. 11 Auburn Tigers (21-7, 10-5 SEC) versus the Mississippi State Bulldogs (19-9, 8-7 SEC) at Neville Arena has a projected final score of 78-69 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Auburn, who is favored in this matchup by our model. Game time is at 4:00 PM ET on March 2. Based on our computer prediction, Auburn projects to cover the 8.5-point spread in its matchup versus Mississippi State. The total has been set at 145.5, and the two teams are projected to hit the over.
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Auburn vs. Mississippi State Odds
Favorite | Spread | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Auburn | -8.5 | 145.5 | -110 | -110 | -430 | +330 |
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Auburn vs. Mississippi State Prediction
- Prediction: Auburn 78, Mississippi State 69
Auburn Betting Info
- The Tigers have 10 wins against the spread in 15 conference games this year.
- Out of 15 Tigers conference games so far this season, six have hit the over.
- The Tigers have been moneyline favorites in 23 games this season and won 18 (78.3%) of those contests.
- Auburn has been at least a -430 moneyline favorite 11 times this season and won all of those games.
- In 14 of 27 games this season, the Tigers and their opponents have gone over 145.5 points.
- Auburn's contests this year have an average point total of 151.0, 5.5 more points than this matchup's over/under.
Auburn's Top Players
Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Johni Broome | 28 | 16.3 | 8.6 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
Jaylin Williams | 27 | 12.9 | 4.6 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.1 |
Chad Baker | 28 | 10.3 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.1 |
Aden Holloway | 28 | 8.1 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.8 |
Denver Jones | 28 | 8.0 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.3 |
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Mississippi State Betting Info
- The Bulldogs have covered the spread six times in 15 SEC games.
- The Bulldogs have played 15 SEC games this year, and eight of them have gone over the total.
- The Bulldogs have come away with two wins in the six contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Mississippi State has been named as an underdog of +330 or more just one time this season and came away with a victory in that game.
- The Bulldogs have combined with their opponents to score more than 145.5 points in 13 of 28 games this season.
- Mississippi State has a 143.8-point average over/under in its matchups this season, 1.7 fewer points than this game's point total.
Mississippi State's Top Players
Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tolu Smith | 16 | 17.1 | 8.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
Josh Hubbard | 28 | 15.9 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 3.0 |
Cameron Matthews | 28 | 9.5 | 6.9 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
Shakeel Moore | 26 | 8.8 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 |
KeShawn Murphy | 14 | 6.6 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
Auburn vs. Mississippi State Scoring Insights
- The Tigers are averaging 82.8 points, 14.5 more than the Bulldogs give up.
- Auburn is 15-7 versus the spread and 20-3 overall when scoring more than 68.3.
- Mississippi State is 14-10 versus the spread and 19-5 overall when conceding less than 82.8 points.
- The Bulldogs' 75.4 points per game are 7.2 more than the Tigers give up.
- Mississippi State has a 12-9 ATS record and 16-5 overall record when putting up over 68.2 points.
- Auburn's record is 11-7 versus the spread and 16-3 overall when giving up less than 75.4 points.
- The Tigers have outscored opponents by 407 points this season (14.6 per game), and the Bulldogs have scored 199 more than their opponents (7.1 per game).
Auburn vs. Mississippi State Rankings
Auburn Rank | Auburn AVG | Mississippi State AVG | Mississippi State Rank | |
---|---|---|---|---|
17th | 82.8 | Points Scored | 75.4 | 131st |
79th | 68.2 | Points Allowed | 68.3 | 82nd |
53rd | 38.3 | Rebounds | 39.0 | 37th |
68th | 10.1 | Off. Rebounds | 10.9 | 32nd |
123rd | 8.0 | 3pt Made | 7.4 | 190th |
10th | 17.6 | Assists | 14.5 | 101st |
79th | 10.2 | Turnovers | 12.4 | 285th |
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