Troy vs. Texas State Picks, Odds and Prediction – March 1

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Friday's game between the Troy Trojans (20-10, 13-4 Sun Belt) and the Texas State Bobcats (13-17, 6-11 Sun Belt) at Strahan Arena has a projected final score of 74-69 based on our computer prediction, with Troy coming out on top. Game time is at 8:15 PM ET on March 1. According to our computer prediction, Troy projects to cover the 2.5-point spread in its matchup against Texas State. The over/under is listed at 138.5, and the two sides are projected to hit the over.

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Troy vs. Texas State Odds

Troy vs Texas State Betting Information
Favorite Spread Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Troy -2.5 138.5 -113 -113 -152 +124

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Troy vs. Texas State Prediction

  • Prediction: Troy 74, Texas State 69

Troy Betting Info

  • The Trojans have covered the spread 11 times in 17 conference games.
  • The Trojans have seen seven of their 17 Sun Belt games hit the over.
  • This season, the Trojans have been moneyline favorites 17 times and won 15, or 88.2%, of those games.
  • Troy has a record of 14-1, a 93.3% win rate, when it's favored by -152 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • In 22 games this season, the Trojans and their opponents have scored more than 138.5 total points.
  • Troy has an average point total of 150.1 in its games this year, 11.6 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Troy's Top Players

Trojans Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Christyon Eugene 30 15.4 4.5 3.3 1.1 0.1 2.1
Tayton Conerway 30 11.6 2.7 2.5 2 0.2 0.8
Myles Rigsby 29 11.6 4.3 1.5 1.6 0.4 0.8
Aamer Muhammad 30 11.3 2.9 2.1 1.1 0.1 1.5
Jackson Fields 27 6.5 4.4 1 1.2 1.3 0.3

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Texas State Betting Info

  • Against the spread in Sun Belt action, the Bobcats are 7-10-0 this year.
  • This year, seven of the Bobcats' 17 Sun Belt games have gone over the point total.
  • The Bobcats have been underdogs in 16 games this season and have come away with the win four times (25%) in those contests.
  • This season, Texas State has come away with a win four times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +124 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Bobcats have played 13 games this season that finished with a combined score over 138.5 points.
  • Texas State's games this season have had an average of 138.1 points, 0.4 fewer points than this game's point total.

Texas State's Top Players

Bobcats Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Tyler Morgan 2 14 8 1.5 0.5 0.5 2
Jordan Mason 24 12.6 3.2 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.5
Brandon Love 29 10.4 5.5 0.7 0.7 1.5 0
Davion Sykes 17 10.2 6.9 0.9 1.3 0.4 0.1
Kaden Gumbs 25 9.1 4.4 3.4 1.2 0.1 0.3

Troy vs. Texas State Scoring Insights

  • The Trojans post 10.3 more points than the Bobcats give up (69.7).
  • When Troy scores more than 69.7, it is 17-7 against the spread and 19-8 overall.
  • Texas State is 12-11 against the spread and has a 13-12 record overall when allowing fewer than 80 points.
  • The Bobcats' 68.5 points per game are only 1.7 fewer than the Trojans concede.
  • Texas State is 7-4 against the spread and 8-5 overall when scoring over 70.2 points.
  • Troy's record is 10-1 versus the spread and 13-1 overall when giving up fewer than 68.5 points.
  • The Trojans have outscored opponents by 294 points this season (9.8 per game), but the Bobcats have been outscored by 36 points (1.2 per game).

Troy vs. Texas State Rankings

Troy Rank Troy AVG Texas State AVG Texas State Rank
44th 80 Points Scored 68.5 308th
125th 70.2 Points Allowed 69.7 108th
38th 39 Rebounds 34.5 239th
19th 11.4 Off. Rebounds 9.3 124th
57th 8.7 3pt Made 4.4 360th
137th 13.7 Assists 11.6 297th
315th 12.9 Turnovers 11.6 217th

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