Market Overview

TWTR and TSLA Earnings Report Cards Could Be Tough Test for Management


Twitter, Inc.'s (NYSE: TWTR) handling of management and its growing pains are well-documented news that has crushed its stock in recent months. So much buzz may put added pressure on the social media company to calm the waters when it reports earnings after the closing bell on Wednesday.

Traders will likely want to hear what Chief Executive Jack Dorsey has to say about the revolving door at Twitter after five higher-level executives left last month. Wall Street is also tuned in for any potential changes to how the Twitter feed is fed and managed, what new products may be in store, and how much, if at all, the user base is expanding.

As for the results themselves, they’re expected to be steady to higher than the year-earlier comparable. The Thomson Reuters survey of analysts is projecting, on average, earnings per share of $0.12, matching last year’s quarter. Notably, analysts expect a top line of $710 million, a 48% jump over the year-ago revenues and based largely on expected strength in mobile ad growth after that metric helped Facebook, Inc. (NASDAQ: FB) and Google parent Alphabet, Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOGL, GOOG). Revenue may not matter as much as you might think right now. Wall Street is obsessed with user growth and will likely care more about what’s next not how last year wrapped up.

Active Stock
If implied volatility—sitting at the 100th percentile—is any indication, the quarterly results could spur needle-moving stock activity. Short-term option traders have priced in a potential 19% share price change in either direction around the earnings release, according to the TD Ameritrade thinkorswim® platform’s Market Maker Move indicator.

Such a response may not surprise investors who’ve followed the stock; it’s erased nearly 70% of its value in the last year and 27% in the last month alone (figure 1). The S&P 500 (SPX), meanwhile, is down 4% on the month, by comparison.

That’s a lot of wing-flapping for a stock that some on Wall Street say might fall under the love-the-product-not-the-underlying-stock category. Time will tell. For now, notable options activity shows buying around the weekly Feb 15 call options and the weekly 14 put options.

Note: Call options represent the right, but not the obligation, to buy the underlying security at a predetermined price and over a set period of time. Put options represent the right, but not the obligation, to sell the underlying security at a predetermined price over a set period of time.

TSLA: A Swing to Black?
Tesla Motors, Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) is another management team that likely needs to quell negative chatter when it releases earnings after the closing bell Wednesday.

Most traders likely want to hear how well production is going for its luxury electric cars—in development and at the drawing board—as well the progress on its Gigafactory battery plant in Las Vegas. Industry analysts are looking for an update on Model X deliveries and any guidance on a cheaper Model 3 that some expect to be unveiled next month.

Analysts reporting to Thomson Reuters are forecasting a per-share profit of $0.10, which would shatter four straight quarters of losses. A year ago, TSLA reported a $0.08 loss. Revenue is expected to surge some 64% to $1.8 billion.

Implied volatility on TSLA is also high ranking at the 100th percentile. Short-term option traders have priced in a potential 14% share change in either direction around the earnings release, according to the TD Ameritrade thinkorswim® platform’s Market Maker Move indicator.

Options activity has picked up, too, with notable volume in the weekly Feb 140 put options and for the weekly 175 and 180 calls.



Probability analysis results from the Market Maker Move indicator are theoretical in nature, not guaranteed, and do not reflect any degree of certainty of an event occurring.

TD Ameritrade and all third parties mentioned are separate and unaffiliated companies, and are not responsible for each other’s policies or services.

Inclusion of specific security names in this commentary does not constitute a recommendation from TD Ameritrade to buy, sell, or hold.

Market volatility, volume, and system availability may delay account access and trade executions.

Past performance of a security or strategy does not guarantee future results or success.

Options are not suitable for all investors as the special risks inherent to options trading may expose investors to potentially rapid and substantial losses. Options trading subject to TD Ameritrade review and approval. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options before investing in options.

Supporting documentation for any claims, comparisons, statistics, or other technical data will be supplied upon request.

The information is not intended to be investment advice or construed as a recommendation or endorsement of any particular investment or investment strategy, and is for illustrative purposes only. Be sure to understand all risks involved with each strategy, including commission costs, before attempting to place any trade. Clients must consider all relevant risk factors, including their own personal financial situations, before trading.

TD Ameritrade, Inc., member FINRA/SIPC. TD Ameritrade is a trademark jointly owned by TD Ameritrade IP Company, Inc. and The Toronto-Dominion Bank. © 2016 TD Ameritrade IP Company, Inc. All rights reserved. Used with permission.

Posted-In: Earnings News


Related Articles (TSLA + FB)

View Comments and Join the Discussion!
Don't Miss Any Updates!
News Directly in Your Inbox
Subscribe to:
Benzinga Trading Daily
Get pre-market outlook, mid-day update and after-market roundup emails in your inbox.
Market in 5 Minutes
Everything you need to know about the market - quick & easy.
Daily Analyst Rating
A summary of each day’s top rating changes from sell-side analysts on the street.
Thank You

Thank you for subscribing! If you have any questions feel free to call us at 1-877-440-ZING or email us at

Twitter's Death Has Been Greatly Exaggerated, Social Data Shows

Axiom's Anthony: Twitter Inc Must Up User Growth, But Google M&A Possible If Stock Stays Depressed