Can Investors Profit From Friday's Rumors?

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Wall Street's Friday was a big day for rumors that moved the market and a slow day for news. A partial sampling of Friday's unconfirmed rumors of varying plausibility: RS Corp.
URS
hired investment bankers, Sharp wants to buy smartphone equipment from Apple Corp.
AAPL
and Shire PLC
SHPG
is holding talks with AbbVie Inc.
ABBV
What to make of a stock market rumor? Scholarly opinion is split. A Ball State University study of 871 published rumors during the 1980s found that trading on market overreactions would have resulted in annualized excess returns averaging 20 percent with 70 percent of the trades being profitable. But another study by researchers at Dartmouth and the University of Michigan found that market manipulation by corporate insiders, brokers, underwriters and large shareholders hurts market efficiency and suggests a need for greater regulation. A third study from Rochester Institute of Technology suggested investors who claim to discount the significance of rumors, tend to trade on them anyway. The study found investors are ill-equipped to evaluate rumors. So take your pick. There were more utterly unconfirmed rumors to chose from Friday.: Exact Holding
EXACT
is in takeover talks with KKR Financial
KFNA
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and Apax Partners. Caesars Entertainment Corp.
CZR
hired Kirkland & Ellis LLP to advise an $17.4B debt restructuring. Scorpio Tankers Inc.
STNG
wants five container ships from Samsung Heavy Industries.
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