Market Overview

Thinking Down Today, but Dangerous to the Upside $ES_F 1516 Still in the Targets, 1484 Downside


Overnight Markets:


Around the Globe


    Asia – CLOSED
    • Shanghai (China) +0.20%
    • Hang Seng (Hong Kong) -2.27%
    • Nikkei (Japan)-1.90%

Europe as of 6:42am EDT

    • DAX (Germany) +0.25%
    • FTSE (UK) +0.66%

Today's Economic News:


Good Service PMI numbers out today across Europe and China.  In the US the 10am ISM number will be a mover.

Quote of the Day:
Happiness is a perfume you cannot pour on others without getting a few drops on yourself.

Current Breadth Readings: (click here to see all our breadth charts)


Breadth still says patience, patience, patience.  The bloom is getting ready to wilt and it is showing us that, but the flower is not ready to be picked yet.  We should get one more attempt.


ES SP500 Futures Comments:

Short: 1516
Long:  1484


We had 1494 marked out yesterday for reversal but we were not quite low enough as the bounce materialized from the 1490 area, the next level down for us from here would be the 1484 area.

We have 1516 as the next high. That will not most likely not happen, at least not today.  In fact we kinda like short right from the open today down to that 1484 area, but shorters warning is in effect. This market remains very very strong and one day of weakness is not a calling to go in for the kill.

There is much work to do on this top before the bears should feel comfortable. A short from 1503 is a brave call when the market can sweep to 1516 in just minutes.  Tomorrow we should be able to narrow our range just a bit.




US Dollar DX Futures Comments:

The dollar hit our upside target set yesterday @ 79.78.  Now we want to see some downside to the 79.40 area, if we can't make it there then we need to think reversal. 


TLT Twenty Year Bond ETF Comments:

There is our jump back in TLT , we will need some-type of retest and then perhaps a more sustained reversal to the upside.


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