Key Takeaways:
- Dada Group’s shares nearly doubled in the first three trading days of the New Year, becoming the latest in a small group of U.S.-listed Chinese stocks posting major gains
- The gains, which have come on high trading volume, most likely reflect smaller institutional investors taking up new positions as sentiment improves towards such companies
By Doug Young
A press release at the start of this week from Dada Group (NASDAQ:DADA) looks just a tad self-congratulatory, recounting the intracity delivery company’s “Impressive 2022 Year in Review.” But a much better headline might be “Dada Group’s Impressive Stock Performance in the First Week of 2023.”
The company’s shares have rocketed 89% in the space of just three trading days since the New Year, including a 29% jump on Thursday. The huge gains came on trading volume that was roughly triple the normal level, with about 7.6% of the company’s stock changing hands over that period.
While Dada would probably like to believe that its “Impressive Year in Review” announcement touched off the rally, the real reason is probably a factor we discussed last month. Specifically, we suspect that similar impressive gains for a small but growing number of U.S.-listed China stocks in the last month are being driven by mid-sized institutional investors starting to rediscover the group and take up significant positions.
We’ll take a closer look at Dada shortly, and examine why one or more major investors appears to be taking a position in the company.
But first we’ll quickly recap the rocky road that U.S.-listed Chinese stocks have traveled over the last two years, and why sentiment finally seems to be turning positive towards the group. Many of these companies reached all-time highs two years ago when new economy Chinese companies were all the rage due to their big growth potential.
So, clearly, even the strongest picks like Dada, Dingdong and 17 Education have quite a lot of potential upside if they can start to approach their former pre-crash trading levels.
Growing JD ties
We once speculated that JD.com could even try to acquire Dada outright and merge it with JD Logistics. But that looks less likely now since most of China’s internet majors are more likely to divest non-core assets rather than buy new ones as the market regulator cracks down on anti-competitive behavior.
Nonetheless, JD.com is clearly pulling Dada closer into its orbit following the stake increase. JDDJ, one of Dada’s two main units that still gets most of its business from JD.com, accounted for about two-thirds of Dada’s 1.7 billion yuan ($247 million) in revenue in the third quarter. That’s a big shift from just two years ago, when JDDJ accounted for less than half of total revenue.
While such factoids may look nice on paper, they are hardly likely to fuel a rally like the one we saw this week, which added $1.6 billion to Dada’s market value.
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