Technical Forecast for Energy Futures
WTI Crude Oil retested resistance at 93.40 & held as expected. Today there is a much better chance that we can break higher to reach 94.30/50 & we could even stretch towards 95.01 which should provide a good selling opportunity with a top expected.
Support at 92.18/92 could hold again if retested with the very short term picture more positive for today at least. The daily outlook remains weak however & so a break should target 91.58 & a floor likely if tested this week. If we break 91.10 however look for 100 day & 21 week moving average support at 90.90/80. Below here 200 day MA at 90.43 then the up trend line at 90.00 should be a buying opportunity at this stage.
Brent could not make it through 113.16 resistance & broke lower to hit the target of 111.96/72. This is strong Fibonacci support plus 100 day moving average & as predicted it has provided a floor. There is a very good chance we push higher from here today to target 112.65 & possibly as far as 113.26/41. Look for a top here today but be ready to go with a break above 113.80 for 114.26/50.
Just below 111.96/72 support we have the 3 month uptrend line at 111.30 so longs will only need stops if we break significantly below here.
Natural Gas did push through 3.480 as hoped to hit the 3.534 target. We over ran just a little to 3.554 but then turned lower. We have bounced off support at 3.390 & if we can hold above 3.460 we could go for another test of 3.534/3.554 highs. It is unlikely we can push through here today as this is 10 month trend line resistance but a break would target 3.592/613.
Support at 3.399/386 could hold a move lower again but a break then targets 3.339/315 where we would expect to see a bounce. If however we move below 3.320 we should fill the gap at 3.294/289 & find excellent support here.
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