Marlins vs. Pirates: MLB Odds, Prediction & Insights - September 30

Jorge Soler and the Miami Marlins will meet Ke'Bryan Hayes and the Pittsburgh Pirates on Saturday at PNC Park, at 6:35 PM ET.

The Marlins (-155), according to oddsmakers, are moneyline favorites in this game versus the Pirates (+131) Miami (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The total for this game has been listed at 9.

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Marlins vs. Pirates Betting Odds

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Marlins -155 +131 9 -105 -115 -1.5 +104 -125

Marlins vs. Pirates Picks

  • Score Prediction: Pirates 6, Marlins 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs

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Marlins Betting Insights

  • The Marlins have won 42 of the 73 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (57.5%).
  • The Marlins have a record of 24-8 when they have played as moneyline favorites with odds of -155 or shorter (75% winning percentage).
  • The Marlins have an implied moneyline win probability of 60.8% in this matchup.
  • In its last 10 games with a total, Miami and its opponents are 5-4-1 when it comes to hitting the over.

Pirates Betting Insights

  • This season, the Pirates have won 56 out of the 129 games, or 43.4%, in which they've been the underdog.
  • Pittsburgh has a record of 29-35, a 45.3% win rate, when it's set as an underdog of +131 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The Pirates have a 43.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Pirates have played as the underdog in 10 of their past 10 games and have gone 5-5 in those contests.
  • When it comes to the total, Pittsburgh and its opponents are 6-4-0 in its last 10 games.
  • The Pirates' ATS record is 8-2-0 over their last 10 games.

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Marlins vs. Pirates Stats

Marlins Pirates
4.1
Runs Scored (PG)
4.3
26
MLB Rank (RPG)
21
4.5
Runs Allowed (PG)
4.9
14
MLB Rank (RAPG)
22
.259
Batting AVG
.239
4
MLB Rank (BA)
24
.246
Batting AVG Against
.251
16
MLB Rank (BAA)
20
165
Home Runs
159
23
MLB Rank (HR)
26
191
Home Runs Allowed
178
15
MLB Rank (HRA)
8

Marlins vs. Pirates: Head to Head

Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
9/29/2023 Marlins -1.5 8.5 -139 +118 4-3 MIA
9/19/2021 Marlins -1.5 7 -214 +179 6-5 MIA
6/25/2023 Marlins -1.5 7 -170 +145 2-0 MIA
6/24/2023 Marlins -1.5 8 -172 +146 4-3 MIA
6/23/2023 Marlins -1.5 7.5 -217 +180 3-1 PIT
6/22/2023 Marlins -1.5 7 -167 +141 6-4 MIA
7/24/2022 Marlins -1.5 7 -168 +142 6-5 MIA
7/23/2022 Marlins -1.5 8 -120 +101 1-0 PIT
7/22/2022 Marlins -1.5 8.5 -130 +111 8-1 MIA
7/14/2022 Marlins -1.5 7.5 -162 +138 3-2 MIA

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Marlins Key Hitters

Name GP AVG OBP SLG HR% K% BB%
Luis Arraez 147 .354 .393 .469 1.6% 5.5% 5.7%
Jorge Soler 135 .245 .335 .506 6.3% 24.7% 11.2%
Jake Burger 139 .253 .313 .526 6.4% 27.5% 6%
Josh Bell 148 .247 .327 .419 3.6% 21.9% 10.4%
Bryan De La Cruz 148 .257 .303 .414 3.1% 22.6% 6.4%

Pirates Key Hitters

Name GP AVG OBP SLG HR% K% BB%
Bryan Reynolds 144 .264 .331 .462 3.8% 21.4% 8.3%
Ke'Bryan Hayes 121 .272 .310 .452 2.9% 20% 5.4%
Jack Suwinski 139 .223 .340 .456 4.9% 32.3% 14.3%
Connor Joe 129 .244 .336 .418 2.4% 23.6% 10.5%
Ji-Hwan Bae 101 .237 .301 .319 0.5% 24.4% 7.9%

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