Orioles vs. Red Sox: MLB Odds, Prediction & Insights - September 30

Anthony Santander and the Baltimore Orioles will take on Rafael Devers and the Boston Red Sox at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Saturday.

At +125, the Red Sox are listed as the moneyline underdogs in this game against the Orioles, who are -145. In terms of the run line, Baltimore (-1.5) is favored. The total for this contest has been set at 8.5.

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Orioles vs. Red Sox Betting Odds

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds Orioles -145 +125 8.5 -115 -105 -1.5 +140 -169

Orioles vs. Red Sox Picks

Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Red Sox 4
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Orioles Betting Insights

The Orioles have been favored on the moneyline 82 total times this season. They've gone 56-26 in those games.
When playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -145 or shorter, the Orioles have a record of 38-12 (76%).
Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Orioles' implied win probability is 59.2%.
The Orioles have played as the favorite in six of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.

Red Sox Betting Insights

This season, the Red Sox have been the underdog 85 times and won 39, or 45.9%, of those games.
Boston has a record of 18-12 in games where oddsmakers have it as underdogs of at least +125 on the moneyline.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 44.4% chance to win.
In six games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Red Sox have posted a mark of 1-5.
When it comes to the total, Boston and its foes are 3-7-0 in its last 10 contests.
The Red Sox's record against the spread is 2-8-0 over their previous 10 matchups.

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Orioles vs. Red Sox Stats

Runs Scored (PG)MLB Rank (RPG)Runs Allowed (PG)MLB Rank (RAPG)Batting AVGMLB Rank (BA)Batting AVG AgainstMLB Rank (BAA)Home RunsMLB Rank (HR)Home Runs AllowedMLB Rank (HRA)

Orioles Red Sox 5 4.8 7 9 4.2 4.8 7 21 .256 .258 8 7 .241 .257 9 25 183 182 17 18 177 208 7 25

Orioles vs. Red Sox: Head to Head

Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result 9/8/2023 Orioles -1.5 10.5 -118 -101 11-2 BAL 9/28/2023 Orioles -1.5 7.5 -123 +103 2-0 BAL 9/29/2023 Red Sox -1.5 7.5 -121 +101 3-0 BOS 9/10/2023 Orioles -1.5 9.5 -119 -100 7-3 BOS 9/9/2023 Red Sox -1.5 10 -144 +123 13-12 BAL 9/11/2022 Orioles -1.5 8.5 -122 +103 1-0 BOS 4/2/2023 Red Sox -1.5 9 -141 +119 9-5 BOS 4/1/2023 Red Sox -1.5 9.5 -155 +133 9-8 BOS 3/30/2023 Red Sox -1.5 8.5 -124 +104 10-9 BAL 9/29/2022 Red Sox -1.5 8.5 -154 +132 5-3 BOS

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Orioles Key Hitters

Name GP AVG OBP SLG HR% K% BB% Adley Rutschman 152 .277 .374 .436 2.9% 14.4% 13.4% Anthony Santander 151 .256 .324 .473 4.3% 23% 8.5% Gunnar Henderson 148 .257 .326 .492 4.6% 25.7% 9% Austin Hays 141 .273 .323 .442 2.8% 24.9% 6.7% Cedric Mullins 110 .236 .309 .421 3.3% 21.8% 9.6%

Red Sox Key Hitters

Name GP AVG OBP SLG HR% K% BB% Rafael Devers 151 .268 .348 .500 5.1% 19.3% 9.4% Justin Turner 144 .276 .345 .457 3.7% 17.3% 8.3% Masataka Yoshida 138 .285 .336 .442 2.6% 13.8% 5.9% Alex Verdugo 137 .263 .324 .422 2.2% 15.3% 7.6% Adam Duvall 89 .244 .302 .527 6% 31.3% 6.3%

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