UMass vs. Arkansas State Picks, Odds and Prediction – September 30

Oddsmakers expect a tight game when the UMass Minutemen (1-4) square off against the Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-2) as just 2.5-point favorites on Saturday, September 30, 2023. The game's over/under is set at 56.5.

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UMass vs. Arkansas State Odds & Betting Lines

UMass vs Arkansas State Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
UMass -2.5 -112 -108 56.5 -112 -108 -140 +116

UMass vs. Arkansas State Picks & Predictions

  • Pick ATS: Arkansas State (+2.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (56.5)
  • Prediction: UMass 33, Arkansas State 31

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How to Watch UMass vs. Arkansas State

  • Game Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • Location: Amherst, Massachusetts
  • Venue: Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

UMass Betting Info

  • The Minutemen have been listed as the moneyline favorite just one other time so far this season, a game they lost.
  • UMass has played as a moneyline favorite of -140 or shorter in only one game this season, which it lost.
  • The Minutemen have a 58.3% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.
  • UMass has covered the spread once in its past three matchups while putting up a 0-3 record straight-up in those games.
  • The final combined score of the past three Minutemen games has exceeded the set total twice.
  • The last three UMass games averaged 48.2 total points, 8.3 fewer points than this matchup's over/under.

Arkansas State Betting Info

  • The Red Wolves have split the two games they've played as underdogs this season.
  • Arkansas State has a record of when it is set as an underdog of +116 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 46.3% chance of a victory for the Red Wolves.

Watch UMass vs. Arkansas State on ESPN+.

UMass vs. Arkansas State Stats

UMass Arkansas State
391.0 (17th) Off. Yards Avg. (Rank) 337.0 (103rd)
419.0 (127th) Def. Yards Avg. (Rank) 447.8 (114th)
144.0 (79th) Rush Yards Avg. (Rank) 162.3 (60th)
247.0 (57th) Pass Yards Avg. (Rank) 174.8 (112th)
8 (103rd) Turnovers (Rank) 6 (68th)
7 (33rd) Takeaways (Rank) 2 (119th)

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UMass Key Players

Name Position Stats
Kay'Ron Adams RB 463 YDS / 4 TD / 92.6 YPG / 4.8 YPC
7 REC / 55 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 11.0 REC YPG
Anthony Simpson WR 19 REC / 393 YDS / 2 TD / 78.6 YPG
Carlos Davis QB 886 YDS (61.4%) / 6 TD / 3 INT
Taisun Phommachanh QB 247 YDS (54.5%) / 0 TD / 1 INT
130 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 26.0 RUSH YPG
Billy Wooden DL 18 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 4.0 SACK
Tyler Rudolph DB 16 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK / 1 INT
Marcus Bradley DL 13 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
JB Brown DL 11 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1.5 SACK

Arkansas State Key Players

Name Position Stats
Jaylen Raynor QB 311 YDS (55.6%) / 4 TD / 1 INT
154 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 38.5 RUSH YPG
Ja'Quez Cross RB 289 YDS / 2 TD / 72.3 YPG / 7.6 YPC
Courtney Jackson WR 10 REC / 199 YDS / 3 TD / 49.8 YPG
Zak Wallace RB 133 YDS / 1 TD / 33.3 YPG / 3.0 YPC
Melique Straker LB 20 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Thurman Geathers DE 14 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Keyron Crawford DE 14 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Javante Mackey LB 19 TKL / 0.0 TFL

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