Emergent BioSolutions Soars: Analyst Upgrades Stock With Near 100% Upside After FDA's Positive Move

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  • Benchmark upgraded Emergent BioSolutions Inc EBS from Hold To Buy with a price target of $22 on the positive FDA and Narcan market news. 
  • Related: FDA Approves First OTC Naloxone Nasal Spray For Opioid Overdose.
  • At current levels, EBS is valued at just 0.5x estimated 2023E revenues. The price target of $22 equates to 1.0x 2023E revenues. 
  • The analyst writes that Emergent expects to launch its OTC product in the summer of 2023, giving a lead of around six months, if not more, over competing OTC versions.
  • Emergent also has the benefit of an existing sales channel.
  • Competitive Landscape

  • Rival firm Amphastar Pharma Inc's AMPH naloxone hydrochloride nasal spray won FDA approval in early March, while another potential competitor – Amneal Pharmaceuticals Inc AMRXawaits approval
  • Currently, Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd TEVA and Novartis AG's NVS Sandoz market generics of the drug, with Emergent providing the manufactured product for Sandoz under a license agreement.
  • Public awareness and acceptance of the OTC version have picked up steam.
  • Price Action: EBS shares are up 14.49% at $12.09 on the last check Monday.
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