PayPal Analysts Highlight Macros Which Are Likely Affecting Payment Volumes In Near-Term, Cut Price Targets

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  • Needham analyst Mayank Tandon maintained a Hold on PayPal Holdings Inc PYPL.
  • Tandon hails PYPL's solid 3Q results and management's cost-saving efforts, which helped drive operating margins 200 bps above his estimate. 
  • While cost efficiency is helping improve profitability, the 4Q revenue outlook is below consensus due to FX headwinds and mixed e-commerce volumes
  • Also Read: 3 Bitcoin, Fintech Plays That Can 2x From Current Levels? Why This Analyst Is Bullish On Block, Coinbase, PayPal
  • In addition, the choppy macro backdrop continues to pressure payment volumes, which will likely weigh on NT revenue growth. 
  • RBC Capital analyst Daniel Perlin reiterated Market Perform and the $118 price target.
  • Perlin highlighted how cost management drove the EPS with TPV affected by FX, while OVAS delivered the revenue upside.
  • However, despite the above, the e-commerce slowdown affected growth while holiday ramp expectations are due, leading to a cautious outlook.
  • Raymond James analyst John Davis reiterated Outperform and cut the price target from $123 to $107.
  • Davis noted the mixed 3Q results and disappointing 4Q guidance.
  • He expects the outlook to prove conservative outside of a significant near-term slowdown. 
  • With EPS mainly likely unchanged, he continues to believe estimates are biased higher in a variety of macro scenarios and see PYPL as a solid defensive play (secular growth, FCF generation, clean balance sheet) in a volatile environment. 
  • Morgan Stanley analyst James Faucette remained Overweight with a $136 price target.
  • He highlighted the modest adjusted EPS growth as soft e-commerce trends offset faster margin gains. 
  • PYPL is still well positioned to outpace underlying eCommerce, while higher rates and more limited capital availability make it an okay time to expand margins. 
  • Price Action: PYPL shares traded lower by 5.23% at $72.55 on the last check Friday.
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