Strong Fundamentals But Valuation High: Why Analysts Are On The Sidelines Of Pepsi Stock

Zinger Key Points
  • Pepsi could be conservative with guidance, according to analysts.
  • Strong pricing power for Pepsi and its portfolio of brands could help insulate the company from concerns over inflation.

Beverage and snack food company PepsiCo, Inc. PEP reported second-quarter financial results before market open Tuesday. Analysts weighed in on the earnings report and how they see inflation and future investments playing out for Pepsi.

The Pepsi Analysts: Credit Suisse analyst Kaumil Gajrawala had a Neutral rating on Pepsi and raised the price target from $168 to $170.

Wells Fargo analyst Chris Carey had an Equal Weight rating and price target of $172.

Bank of America analyst Bryan Spillane had a Buy rating and a price target of $190.

Related Link: Exclusive: Louis Navellier Says PepsiCo Raising Gudiance Helped The Entire Market 

The Analyst Takeaways: Pepsi reported earnings per share growth of 8% and organic revenue growth of 10%.

Credit Suisse's Gajrawala called the earnings report sweet in a salty environment, but remained cautious going forward.

“Despite strong fundamentals, valuation keeps us on the sidelines,” Gajrawala said.

The analyst noted that Pepsi showed some conservatism in guidance with a potential strong second half of the year coming.

“With pricing largely in place and commodities mostly locked for this year, we expect higher flow-through than management’s guidance.”

Pricing and inflation concerns remain with Pepsi according to Wells Fargo's Carey. The analyst said the story got better with Pepsi after the second quarter results.

“PEP looking in a good position to deliver upside to its EPS outlook should it want, or invest back in the business to lay the foundation for 2023,” Carey said.

Carey sees pricing power for Pepsi with a strong portfolio on a global basis, which could become more critical with continued high CPI figures.

The analyst points to valuation being in line for the stock based on a three year average and slightly above historical valuation of the past 10 and 20 years.

Bank of America's Spillane said Pepsi has been strong at “hurdling obstacles.”

Potential catalysts for the company listed by Spillane include expansion in the energy drinks and alcohol categories, reinvestment opportunities in the business and growth for the beverage and snacks categories.

“We continue to believe our multiple fairly reflects PEP’s balanced momentum, margin support, and brand investments, capable of delivering the high end of their long-term outlook,” Spillane said.

PEP Price Action: Pepsi shares are up 0.19% to $169.82 on Wednesday morning at publication. Pepsi shares have traded between $148.78 and $177.62 over the last 52 weeks.

Photo: zef art via Shutterstock


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Posted In: Analyst ColorEarningsNewsPrice TargetReiterationAnalyst RatingsTrading IdeasBank of Americabeverage stocksBryan SpillaneChris Careyconsumer staplesCredit Suissefood stocksKaumil Gajrawalasnack foodsWells Fargo
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