Market Overview

An Oil Services Pair Trade From Piper Jaffray

An Oil Services Pair Trade From Piper Jaffray
Benzinga's Top Upgrades, Downgrades For December 19, 2018
A Peek Into The Markets: US Stock Futures Surge; All Eyes On Fed Decision
General Electric: Some Big Developments On The Horizon (Seeking Alpha)
Related WFT
10 Biggest Price Target Changes For Thursday
Benzinga's Top Upgrades, Downgrades For January 10, 2019
Will Q4 Results Prove Schlumberger Has Peaked? (Seeking Alpha)

A bullish case can now be made for Baker Hughes A GE Co (NYSE: BHGE), while the bullish case for Weatherford International plc (NYSE: WFT) no longer applies, according to PiperJaffray.

The Analyst

PiperJaffray's Bill Herbert upgraded Baker Hughes' stock from Neutral to Overweight with a price target raised from $35 to $39. The analyst downgraded Weatherford International's stock from Overweight to Neutral with a price target lowered from $4.20 to $2.35.

Baker Hughes

The bullish case for Baker Hughes' stock is based on a combination of factors, Herbert said in the upgrade note.

The stock is trading at 12.4x the analyst's 2020 EPS estimate and 11.8x the Street's 2020 estimate. This represents a discount versus some of its peers, including Schlumberger Limited (NYSE: SLB), the analyst said. 

Baker Hughes' balance sheet is "essentially best-in-class" among diversified service peers, with a net debt/cap of 6 percent and debt-to-EBITDA below 1x, the analyst said. The company's free cash flow generation is attractive and should generate $375 million in 2018, $1 billion in 2019 and $1.7 billion in 2020, according to PiperJaffray. 

Related Link: BofA Weighs In On Oil Services, Upgrades Schlumberger And Baker Hughes


Weatherford's "prodigiously heavy" balance sheet is one reason for PiperJaffray's downgrade, Herbet said. The company holds $7 billion in net debt and about $580 million in annualized interest expense versus a market cap of $2 billion, the analyst said.

Any hopes of achieving a "satisfying resolution" to Weatherford's financial inflexibility are diminishing at a time when a business turnaround is taking longer than originally expected, Herbert said. 

PiperJaffray's revised price target of $2.35 per share is based on 7.5x EV/2020E EBITDA, which represents a decrease from a prior multiple of 9x. This is justified given the company's unfavorable debt load and a slower pace of improvement in its  operational turnaround, Herbert said. 

Price Action

Shares of Baker Hughes were up 4.14 percent at the close Tuesday, while Weatherford shares were down 0.23 percent. 

Related Link:

Barclays Slashes Weatherford Price Target On Execution Risk, Highly Levered Balance Sheet

Latest Ratings for BHGE

Dec 2018Credit SuisseUpgradesNeutralOutperform
Nov 2018UBSMaintainsBuyBuy
Nov 2018CitigroupMaintainsBuyBuy

View More Analyst Ratings for BHGE
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Bill Herbert OilAnalyst Color Upgrades Downgrades Price Target Analyst Ratings Trading Ideas Best of Benzinga


Related Articles (SLB + BHGE)

View Comments and Join the Discussion!

Latest Ratings

EMNMorgan StanleyUpgrades90.0
DERMRaymond JamesUpgrades0.0
View the Latest Analytics Ratings
Don't Miss Out!
Join Our Newsletter
Subscribe to:
Market in 5 Minutes
Everything you need to know about the market - quick & easy.
Daily Analyst Rating
A summary of each day’s top rating changes from sell-side analysts on the street.
Fintech Focus
Your weekly roundup of hot topics in the exciting world of fintech.
Thank You
for registering for Benzinga’s newsletters and alerts.
• The Daily Analysts Ratings email will be received daily between 7am and 10am.
• The Market in 5 Minutes email will be received daily between 7am and 8am.
• The Fintech Focus email will be received every Friday between 2pm and 5pm.

Goldman Sachs Expands Commercial Real Estate Broker Coverage, Says CBRE, Newmark Are Names To Own

Vetr Crowd Upgrades Under Armour