The weak first-quarter outlook from Juniper Networks, Inc. JNPR, despite better-than-expected results for the fourth quarter, reinforced the bearish thesis of Deutsche Bank and triggered a selloff in the shares.
The first quarter guide of revenue/EPS of $1.20 billion (+/- $30 million)/$0.38–$0.44 missed consensus view on EPS of $1.19 billion /$0.46, suggesting margin headwinds from pricing pressures in routing and switching business.
Rating Justification
“[O]ur Underweight Thesis argues for meaningful price competition from 100G Jericho Silicon Switch-Routers from Arista Networks Inc ANET, Cisco Systems, Inc. CSCOin 2H17+. We see downward revisions to current elevated consensus earnings estimates for FY17/18,” analyst Vijay Bhagavath wrote in a note.
Juniper noted weakness in cable and in EMEA, offset partially by strength in Switching and Routing sales into U.S. clouds. Bhagavath predicts 0 percent product revenue growth and 13 percent product service revenue for FY 2017.
In addition, the analyst sees limited EPS accretion from Juniper’s operating metrics given gross margins pressures.
“[W]e recommend clients take profit on JNPR at current ~13x P/E levels,” Bhagavath added.
The analyst reiterated his Sell rating and cut the price target by $1 to $20.
At last check, shares of Juniper were seen down 4.87 percent to $26.37.
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