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Jefferies' Recipe For Restaurant Investing In 2017

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Jefferies' Recipe For Restaurant Investing In 2017
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Restaurant stocks closed out 2016 on a mostly high note, but investors are now shifting their focus to how much upside top names have ahead in 2017. Jefferies analyst Andy Barish has adjusted the firm’s ratings on a number of leading restaurant stocks and still sees pockets of opportunity for investors.

Some Downgrades

Barish predicts continued headwinds for restaurants in 2017 and has downgraded three of 2016’s top performers. Jefferies cut ratings on Dunkin Brands Group Inc (NASDAQ: DNKN) and Cheesecake Factory Inc (NASDAQ: CAKE) from Hold to Underperform. In addition, the firm cut Wingstop Inc (NASDAQ: WING) from Buy to Hold.

The Restaurant Space

“We are most cautious on the casual dining category, where most business models are largely company-owned, and hence, are likely more at risk of seeing margin contraction,” Barish explained.

“Franchisors exhibit safer qualities but we believe DNKN (and others) have stretched valuation for less-than compelling fundamental growth.”

While restaurants could get a boost from the stimulative policies of the incoming Trump administration, Barish isn’t convinced tax cuts and deregulation will be enough for restaurant stocks to thrive in the current competitive environment.

Other than the three downgraded stocks mentioned above, Jefferies raised price targets for the restaurant stocks it covers across the board.

A Handful Of Buys

The firm maintains Buy ratings on the following restaurant stocks headed into 2017:

  • Bojangles Inc (NASDAQ: BOJA).
  • Dave & Buster’s Entertainment, Inc. (NASDAQ: PLAY).
  • Del Taco Restaurants Inc (NASDAQ: TACO).
  • Fogo De Chao Inc (NASDAQ: FOGO).
  • Jack in the Box Inc. (NASDAQ: JACK).

Latest Ratings for DNKN

DateFirmActionFromTo
Oct 2017BairdMaintainsOutperform
Oct 2017MizuhoDowngradesNeutralUnderperform
Sep 2017JMP SecuritiesMaintainsOutperform

View More Analyst Ratings for DNKN
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Analyst Color Long Ideas Short Ideas Downgrades Reiteration Restaurants Analyst Ratings Trading Ideas Best of Benzinga

 

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