An Activist's Top Trades And A Bullish Case For Starbucks

A pair of market experts recently joined PreMarket Prep to share some favorite trading ideas. Ron Bienvenu is a managing member of Spear Point Capital Management LLC and an activist investor.

First NBC And GSE Systems

Bienvenu discussed the incredible recent volatility in First NBC Bank Holding Company FNBC.

“It has been a wild ride. The backstory on this is the company was very successful in growing using some fairly innovative accounting methods for tax credits and building a highly-specialized business around that. The problem is, on the Basel III, those accounting methods will probably no longer be sufficient to rate as capital on their balance sheet, so they’ve got a fundamental problem,” he explained.

“From where I sit, it looks like you’re going to have to restructure this business through the FDIC, so our bet is the equity is probably worth zero."

On the other hand, Bienvenu is extremely bullish on nuclear energy play GSE Systems, Inc. GVP.

“We think they have the best small-cap management team possibly in the country [...] They have the biggest backlog in their history, and they signed a $75 million deal earlier this year.”

Bienvenu said he wouldn’t be surprised to see the stock double within two years.


PreMarket Prep was also joined by Motley Fool writer Daniel Kline, who gave his take on Starbucks Corporation SBUX and mortgage giants Federal National Mortgage Assctn Fnni Me FNMA and Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp FMCC.

Kline started off by pointing out that Starbucks is facing some negative political headwinds, but it doesn’t have any real long-term competition.

“Starbucks really dominates the upscale café coffee market [...] long term, they’re improving their technology and they have a huge amount of people in their app. That’s a big advantage,” he explained.

Kline compared Starbucks to, Inc. AMZN in that it has a loyal, entrenched customer base of app users. That setup should provide the company with long-term pricing power.

Mortgage Giants

Turning to the mortgage market, Kline believes that fear of rising interest rates could trigger a short-term bump in the mortgage market, but rising interest rates are bad news for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in the long term.

“I don’t see great things for the housing market because coming off historic lows for mortgage rates, you might get a short-term bump of people buying because they see the gravy train ending, but if mortgages go higher, it's going to be harder to sell and harder to buy,” he concluded.

Listen to the full discussion at 18:07 in the clip below.

PreMarket Prep is a daily trading ideas show that focuses on technical analysis and actionable short term trades. You can listen to the show live every morning from 8–9 ET here, or catch the podcast here.

Posted In: Daniel KlineRon BienvenuSpear Point Capital Management LLCAnalyst ColorLong IdeasShort IdeasTop StoriesAnalyst RatingsMediaTrading IdeasInterview

Ad Disclosure: The rate information is obtained by Bankrate from the listed institutions. Bankrate cannot guaranty the accuracy or availability of any rates shown above. Institutions may have different rates on their own websites than those posted on The listings that appear on this page are from companies from which this website receives compensation, which may impact how, where, and in what order products appear. This table does not include all companies or all available products.

All rates are subject to change without notice and may vary depending on location. These quotes are from banks, thrifts, and credit unions, some of whom have paid for a link to their own Web site where you can find additional information. Those with a paid link are our Advertisers. Those without a paid link are listings we obtain to improve the consumer shopping experience and are not Advertisers. To receive the rate from an Advertiser, please identify yourself as a Bankrate customer. Bank and thrift deposits are insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. Credit union deposits are insured by the National Credit Union Administration.

Consumer Satisfaction: Bankrate attempts to verify the accuracy and availability of its Advertisers' terms through its quality assurance process and requires Advertisers to agree to our Terms and Conditions and to adhere to our Quality Control Program. If you believe that you have received an inaccurate quote or are otherwise not satisfied with the services provided to you by the institution you choose, please click here.

Rate collection and criteria: Click here for more information on rate collection and criteria.